Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$23.41
+0.52 (+2.27%)
▲
5d:
-6.29%
30d:
-7.91%
90d:
-2.82%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect NOG Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$23.72 – $27.73
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.5x
CHEAP
vs 6.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$30.56
+30.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.94 / $28.51
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $25.35 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.08
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.55
39.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOG is currently trading at $23.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.72 to $27.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 119.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.94, while resistance sits at $28.51.
Market Sentiment: NOG scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.56 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.94, while resistance sits at $28.51.
Market Sentiment: NOG scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.56 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.72 -
$27.73
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.72 -
$27.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$21.94
Resistance Level
$28.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NOG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($30.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.50
Wall Street Target
$30.56
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
119.0%
Profit Margin
-21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 6.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$25.40
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$182.02
(+678%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 20.8%)
$41.25
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 20.8%)
$35.06
(+50%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$34.85
(+48.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NOG)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users express bullish sentiment towards $NOG, with one user asking about target prices.
Key Retail Themes:
Price Discussion
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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