NVGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$22.38
0.48 (2.19%)
▲
5d:
-1.58%
30d:
-4.36%
90d:
+20.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.30
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $22.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.79 to $23.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.44, while resistance sits at $23.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.44, while resistance sits at $23.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.25 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.79 -
$23.27
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.79 -
$23.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.44
Resistance Level
$23.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.86
Wall Street Target
$25.25
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.21
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$24.07
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$24.96
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -9.5%)
$28.11
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: -9.5%)
$16.60
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: -9.5%)
$14.11
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$25.88
(+16%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$23.53
(+5%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$14.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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