NAVIGATOR (NVGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$23.13
0.14 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+2.25%
30d:
+12.61%
90d:
+2.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NVGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NVGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.15
Based on 0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $23.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.88 to $22.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NVGS scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.67 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NVGS scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.67 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.88 -
$22.62
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.88 -
$22.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.89
Resistance Level
$23.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.30
Wall Street Target
$25.67
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
174.2%
Profit Margin
22.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.15
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$25.21
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$26.32
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.4%)
$32.67
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: -2.4%)
$21.54
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: -2.4%)
$18.31
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.19
Bull Case
$20.09
(-13%)
Analyst growth -20.6%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$18.26
(-21%)
Market implied -20.6%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$15.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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