NAVIGATOR (NVGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$23.84
0.04 (0.17%)
â˛
5d:
+3.56%
30d:
+5.91%
90d:
+20.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NVGS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NVGS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.61
Based on -0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $23.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.23 to $24.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.53, while resistance sits at $25.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.53, while resistance sits at $25.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.23 -
$24.06
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.0% growth expectation is conservative given 174% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.23 -
$24.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.53
Resistance Level
$25.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.71
Wall Street Target
$25.67
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
174.2%
Profit Margin
22.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 11.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.03
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$26.28
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$27.60
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.7%)
$29.74
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: -5.7%)
$19.98
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -5.7%)
$16.98
(-29%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$20.51
(-14%)
Analyst growth -21.6%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$18.65
(-22%)
Market implied -21.6%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$16.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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