NAVIGATOR (NVGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$21.69
0.52 (2.46%)
▲
5d:
+1.69%
30d:
-7.07%
90d:
-0.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.55
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $21.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.01 to $24.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.33, while resistance sits at $24.68.
Market Sentiment: NVGS scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.67 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.33, while resistance sits at $24.68.
Market Sentiment: NVGS scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.67 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.01 -
$24.37
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($25.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.01 -
$24.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.33
Resistance Level
$24.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$25.67
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
174.2%
Profit Margin
22.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.34
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.51
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$21.68
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.1%)
$30.41
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: -4.1%)
$18.69
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: -4.1%)
$15.89
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$18.88
(-11%)
Analyst growth -19.7%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$17.16
(-19%)
Market implied -19.7%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$14.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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