NVGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVGS - NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
$21.80
-0.55 (-2.46%)
▼
5d:
+0.41%
30d:
+14.02%
90d:
-0.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.74
Based on -3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $21.80, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.76 to $21.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.97, while resistance sits at $22.55.
Market Sentiment: NVGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.33 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $20.97, while resistance sits at $22.55.
Market Sentiment: NVGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.33 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.76 -
$21.81
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.76 -
$21.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.97
Resistance Level
$22.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.06
Wall Street Target
$25.33
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.37
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$22.66
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -10.3%)
$27.31
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: -10.3%)
$15.89
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: -10.3%)
$13.51
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$27.43
(+26%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$24.94
(+14%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$15.20
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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