NVGS
NAVIGATOR HOLDINGS LTD.
Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
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NAVIGATOR (NVGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.41
+0.35 (+1.66%)
▲
5d:
+9.35%
30d:
-6.26%
90d:
+1.95%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$20.39 – $23.12
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.6x
FAIR
vs 11.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$26.08
+23.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.46 / $21.72
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.22
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVGS is currently trading at $21.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.39 to $23.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 154.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NVGS scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.08 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVGS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NVGS scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.08 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.39 -
$23.12
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.39 -
$23.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$19.46
Resistance Level
$21.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($26.08)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.55
Wall Street Target
$26.08
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
154.0%
Profit Margin
30.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.83
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.60
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$20.37
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$20.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.8%)
$31.24
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: -4.8%)
$18.17
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -4.8%)
$15.44
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.91
Bull Case
$14.34
(-32%)
Analyst growth -37.3%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$13.04
(-38%)
Market implied -37.3%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$14.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$21.70
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NVGS)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 19, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $NVGS, with one user expressing strong optimism.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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