NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.42
-0.37 (-2.34%)
▼
5d:
-12.04%
30d:
-19.98%
90d:
-38.07%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$16.89 – $19.33
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
-7.0x
Next 12M consensus est.
Wall Street Target
$18.25
+18.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.32 / $18.65
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXRT is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXRT is currently trading at $15.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.89 to $19.33.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXRT scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.25 (+18.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NXRT scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.25 (+18.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.89 -
$19.33
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.89 -
$19.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$15.32
Resistance Level
$18.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-6.98
Wall Street Target
$18.25
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
371.8%
Profit Margin
-14.6%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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