ODP The ODP Corporation Common Stock RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES

The ODP (ODP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$28.00
+0.01 (+0.04%) ▲
5d: +0.11% 30d: +0.54% 90d: +37.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (66%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.9x FAIR
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$30.33
+8.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$27.91 / $28.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ODP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.88
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ODP is currently trading at $28.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ODP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 66.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

Support Level $27.91
Resistance Level $28.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Dec 9, 2025

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.88
Wall Street Target $30.33 (+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -58.5%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 9.9 vs 9.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.59 (+2%)
2-Year Target $29.21 (+4%)
3-Year Target $29.86 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $28.09 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ODP)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Jul 16, 2023
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ODP are bullish (sentiment score +0.30) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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