Organon & (OGN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$13.89
+0.00 (+0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
+0.87%
90d:
+1.24%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect OGN Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$13.74 – $13.84
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.8x
STRETCHED
vs 3.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.33
-25.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.76 / $13.89
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OGN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.03
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OGN is currently trading at $13.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.74 to $13.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (3.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OGN scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OGN scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.74 -
$13.84
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$13.74 -
$13.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$13.76
Resistance Level
$13.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding OGN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 25.6% above Wall St target ($10.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with -1.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.81
Wall Street Target
$10.33
(-25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 3.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.07
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$16.35
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$17.74
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.98
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$86.66
(+524%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$16.62
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.0, Growth: 6.2%)
$13.09
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$30.56
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$27.78
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$9.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OGN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests a 40% gain in $OGN since being alerted, with further potential upside.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish outlook on $OGN
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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