Organon & (OGN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OGN - Organon & Co.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$13.72
0.01 (0.07%) ▲
5d: -0.07%
30d: -0.36%
90d: +1.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 30, 2026 at $13.70 · last confirmed Sep 30, 2026

Strength: 5.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: OGN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.15
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OGN is currently trading at $13.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.68 to $13.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (2.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.25. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.68 - $13.76
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 18.0% above Wall St target ($11.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.8% growth with -2.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.68 - $13.76
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.67
Resistance Level $13.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.80
Wall Street Target $11.25 (-18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -28.3%
Profit Margin 3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.8% premium
PE vs Historical 3.8 vs 2.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.06 (+10%)
2-Year Target $16.54 (+21%)
3-Year Target $18.16 (+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→3) PE COMPRESSION $13.88 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.4%) $93.81 (+584%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 8.4%) $17.45 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 2.9, Growth: 8.4%) $13.34 (-3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case $30.16 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case $27.42 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case $9.32 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced OGN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OGN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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