OTEX
Open Text Corp
SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
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Open Text (OTEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.56
-0.36 (-1.44%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.66%
30d:
+1.57%
90d:
+2.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (48%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$23.64 â $27.12
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.5x
FAIR
vs 5.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.14
+14.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$24.04 / $27.59
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OTEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.11
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OTEX is currently trading at $24.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.64 to $27.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.5) is in line with its historical norms (5.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OTEX scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.14 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OTEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OTEX scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.14 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.64 -
$27.12
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.64 -
$27.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$24.04
Resistance Level
$27.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.50
Wall Street Target
$28.14
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 5.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.24
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$23.93
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.61
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â6)
$24.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$104.29
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 5.5%)
$28.87
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$24.54
(0%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$46.21
(+88%)
Analyst growth 68.6%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$42.01
(+71%)
Market implied 68.6%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$16.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 5.7
Stabilization Target:
$25.46
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OTEX)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $OTEX with no new Yahoo Finance news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OTEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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