Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXSQ - Oxford Square Capital Corp.
$1.30
-0.03 (-2.26%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.76%
30d:
+2.36%
90d:
-7.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OXSQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OXSQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.25
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.40
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $1.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.26 to $1.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+34.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+34.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1.26 -
$1.33
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($1.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.26 -
$1.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.28
Resistance Level
$1.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.91
Wall Street Target
$1.75
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.8%
Profit Margin
-93.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 6.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.26
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$1.23
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$1.20
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â6)
$1.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$6.78
(+422%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$2.02
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 15.8%)
$1.72
(+32%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$1.41
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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