Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$0.80
0.00 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
-5.07%
30d:
-40.53%
90d:
-45.42%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$0.93 – $1.34
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.0x
CHEAP
vs 6.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$1.15
+44.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$0.78 / $1.01
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXSQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.81
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.12
29.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $0.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.93 to $1.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.15 (+44.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.15 (+44.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$0.93 -
$1.34
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$0.93 -
$1.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$0.78
Resistance Level
$1.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($1.15)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.98
Wall Street Target
$1.15
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.8%
Profit Margin
-93.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 6.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.72
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.58
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$0.92
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$5.45
(+584%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$1.09
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$0.93
(+17%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 6.3
Stabilization Target:
$1.26
(+58.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+58.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OXSQ)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user anticipates $OXSQ to pay two dividends of $0.035 each, starting in 2027, and expresses hope for a turnaround of the declining net asset value (NAV) at $1.21.
Key Retail Themes:
dividends
NAV recovery
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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