OXSQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OXSQ - Oxford Square Capital Corp.

$1.47
-0.02 (-1.34%) ▼
5d: +3.52%
30d: +10.53%
90d: -21.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXSQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.73
15.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $1.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.28 to $1.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OXSQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+19.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $1.28 - $1.42
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($1.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -12.0% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.28 - $1.42
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.24
Resistance Level $1.43
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.68
Wall Street Target $1.75 (+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -30.9%
Profit Margin -92.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 6.7 vs 6.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.48 (+1%)
2-Year Target $1.49 (+2%)
3-Year Target $1.51 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $1.46 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.4%) $10.38 (+607%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 29.4%) $3.19 (+117%)
Bear: (PE: 5.7, Growth: 29.4%) $2.71 (+84%)
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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