Oxford Square Capital (OXSQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXSQ - Oxford Square Capital Corp.
$1.28
-0.01 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-5.54%
90d:
-9.86%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OXSQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OXSQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.28
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.42
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXSQ is currently trading at $1.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.28 to $1.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXSQ scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+36.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXSQ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXSQ scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.75 (+36.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.28 -
$1.36
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.7% below Wall St target ($1.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.28 -
$1.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.25
Resistance Level
$1.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.82
Wall Street Target
$1.75
(+36.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.8%
Profit Margin
-93.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$1.19
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$1.15
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$1.29
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.8%)
$6.97
(+444%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 15.8%)
$1.99
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$1.69
(+32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$1.43
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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