PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$26.10
0.39 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
+2.25%
30d:
+12.31%
90d:
+16.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.92
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $26.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.56 to $25.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAA scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAA scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.56 -
$25.67
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.0% growth expectation is conservative given 1077% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.56 -
$25.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.17
Resistance Level
$26.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.79
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1076.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 11.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.40
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$28.78
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$30.21
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$51.50
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$35.21
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$29.93
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
Bull Case
$46.14
(+77%)
Analyst growth 63.1%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$41.95
(+61%)
Market implied 63.1%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$17.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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