PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests

PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)
$23.75
0.05 (0.21%) ▲
5d: -2.74%
30d: -7.66%
90d: +6.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.61
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.25
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $23.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.41 to $25.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $24.41 - $25.86
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.41 - $25.86
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.43
Resistance Level $25.46
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.45
Wall Street Target $26.00 (+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 66.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1076.7%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 12.5 vs 12.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.04 (+1%)
2-Year Target $24.32 (+2%)
3-Year Target $24.62 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) PE COMPRESSION $23.73 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.7%) $52.79 (+122%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 10.7%) $32.21 (+36%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.7%) $27.38 (+15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case $42.52 (+79%)
Analyst growth 63.1%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case $38.65 (+63%)
Market implied 63.1%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case $16.12 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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