PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$22.91
-0.05 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
-0.26%
30d:
+1.15%
90d:
+4.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.27
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $22.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.00 to $23.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.00 -
$23.31
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.00 -
$23.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.39
Resistance Level
$24.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.64
Wall Street Target
$23.17
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.9%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.64
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$22.50
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$22.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$52.65
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$27.97
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$23.78
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$42.71
(+87%)
Analyst growth 69.0%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$38.83
(+70%)
Market implied 69.0%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$15.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.22
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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