PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$21.91
0.43 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.14%
30d:
-7.47%
90d:
+0.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.34
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $21.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.00 to $23.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.00 -
$23.38
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.00 -
$23.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.37
Resistance Level
$23.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.04
Wall Street Target
$23.61
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.9%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$20.56
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$21.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$58.63
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$29.72
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$25.26
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$42.24
(+93%)
Analyst growth 78.8%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$38.40
(+75%)
Market implied 78.8%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$14.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.42
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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