PAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAA - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$24.61
0.02 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
+2.97%
30d:
-0.32%
90d:
+3.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.92
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAA is currently trading at $24.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.39 to $24.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.39 -
$24.53
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.39 -
$24.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.85
Resistance Level
$24.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.07
Wall Street Target
$24.88
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1076.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.47
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$26.36
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$27.29
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.63
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$49.87
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$32.48
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$27.61
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$42.44
(+73%)
Analyst growth 56.9%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$38.58
(+57%)
Market implied 56.9%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$16.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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