Is PAGP stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PAGP is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAGP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of PAGP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PAGP to be between $26.31 and $27.72. The current price is $28.61.

What is the analyst price target for PAGP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PAGP is $26.46. This implies a potential upside of -7.5% from current levels.

PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests

PIPE LINES (NO NATURAL GAS)

$28.61

0.68 (2.42%) ▲

5d: +4.21%

30d: +7.13%

90d: +9.64%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PAGP Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 06, 2026 12d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 15, 2026 at $27.17 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAGP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -7.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$21.15

Based on -1.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$13.13

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $28.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.31 to $27.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PAGP scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $26.31 - $27.72

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 21.4%

Protect Your Profits

PAGP is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($26.46)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.7% growth expectation is conservative given 1210% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.31 - $27.72

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.63

Resistance Level $28.73

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.83

Wall Street Target $26.46 (-7.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 66.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 1209.8%

Profit Margin 1.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.7% premium

PE vs Historical 13.8 vs 11.1 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $30.81 (+8%)

2-Year Target $33.18 (+16%)

3-Year Target $35.73 (+25%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→11) PE COMPRESSION $28.68 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.1%) $32.91 (+15%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: -7.1%) $22.91 (-20%)

Bear: (PE: 11.1, Growth: -7.1%) $18.39 (-36%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 12.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.37

Bull Case $34.54 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.7

Base Case $28.61 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.1

Bear Case $21.88 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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