PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$27.99
0.10 (0.36%)
â˛
5d:
+1.12%
30d:
+11.29%
90d:
+14.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $27.84 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAGP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PAGP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.69
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $27.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.54 to $28.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAGP scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAGP scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.54 -
$28.00
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
35.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAGP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($25.46)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.5% growth expectation is conservative given 1210% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.54 -
$28.00
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.38
Resistance Level
$28.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.72
Wall Street Target
$25.46
(-9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1209.8%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 10.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.37
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$32.95
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$35.75
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.9%)
$59.28
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 12.9%)
$40.32
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 12.9%)
$31.45
(+12%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.85
Bull Case
$33.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$27.99
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$21.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAGP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
