PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$26.00
-0.33 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
-0.34%
30d:
+6.43%
90d:
+9.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
10d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.81
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $26.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.36 to $26.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAGP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PAGP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$24.36 -
$26.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($24.64)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 8.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.36 -
$26.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.80
Resistance Level
$26.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$24.64
(-5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.2%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.09
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$28.23
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$29.42
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.1%)
$63.93
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$36.61
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$31.12
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$57.93
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$52.66
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$17.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
