PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$26.84
0.04 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
+3.87%
30d:
+1.24%
90d:
+5.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $26.26 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAGP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAGP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.30
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $26.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.25 to $26.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAGP scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAGP scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.25 -
$26.41
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAGP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($24.79)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.8% growth expectation is conservative given 1210% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.25 -
$26.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.83
Resistance Level
$27.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.48
Wall Street Target
$24.79
(-7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1209.8%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 10.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.40
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$30.04
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$31.79
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 50.4%)
$145.65
(+443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 50.4%)
$90.59
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 50.4%)
$76.20
(+184%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.77
Bull Case
$32.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$26.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$20.53
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAGP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
