PAGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAGP - Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Class A Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$25.24
0.49 (1.98%)
▲
5d:
+4.43%
30d:
+2.48%
90d:
+7.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PAGP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.49
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGP is currently trading at $25.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.67 to $24.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAGP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PAGP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.67 -
$24.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with 8.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.67 -
$24.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.25
Resistance Level
$25.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.52
Wall Street Target
$24.14
(-4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.2%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.12
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$27.04
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$27.98
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.25
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$67.17
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 12.1%)
$35.54
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$30.21
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$54.45
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$49.50
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$16.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAGP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGP price and gamma walls.
