PCTY
Paylocity Holding Corporation Common Stock
SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
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Paylocity (PCTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$180.04
+1.04 (+0.58%)
▲
5d:
+5.31%
30d:
+13.87%
90d:
+17.9%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$156.78 – $176.27
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.7x
STRETCHED
vs 15.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$196.25
+9.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$160.00 / $181.57
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PCTY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$178.74
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PCTY is currently trading at $180.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.78 to $176.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PCTY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $181.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PCTY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PCTY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $181.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PCTY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$156.78 -
$176.27
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$156.78 -
$176.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$160.00
Resistance Level
$181.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.73
Wall Street Target
$196.25
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.8% premium
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 15.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.68
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$217.06
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$238.33
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$179.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$223.17
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$213.85
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 7.4%)
$167.98
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$329.56
(+83%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$299.60
(+66%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$121.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PCTY)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits with no news articles available to provide additional context.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PCTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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