PDFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PDFS - PDF Solutions Inc
$45.65
0.84 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
-10.31%
30d:
-12.8%
90d:
+2.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PDFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PDFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.22
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PDFS is currently trading at $45.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.82 to $52.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.5) is in line with its historical norms (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 241.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PDFS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.15, while resistance sits at $53.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.67 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PDFS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.15, while resistance sits at $53.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.67 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.82 -
$52.22
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
49th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 49th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($61.67)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.82 -
$52.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.80
(12.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.15
Resistance Level
$53.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.52
Wall Street Target
$61.67
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
241.6%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 30.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.47
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$42.16
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$40.90
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→30)
$44.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 26.2%)
$90.12
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 26.2%)
$65.72
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 26.2%)
$55.86
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.29
Bull Case
$55.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$45.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$34.92
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.5 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$49.01
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PDFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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