PEGA
Pegasystems Inc
SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
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Pegasystems (PEGA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.39
-0.14 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
-8.64%
30d:
-8.7%
90d:
-6.27%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
Protect PEGA Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$33.07 – $35.97
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.2x
CHEAP
vs 15.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$41.00
+30.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.34 / $35.91
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: PEGA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.42
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.17
5.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PEGA is currently trading at $31.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.07 to $35.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PEGA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.34, while resistance sits at $35.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PEGA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.34, while resistance sits at $35.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.07 -
$35.97
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$33.07 -
$35.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$30.34
Resistance Level
$35.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($41.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.6%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.7%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$28.75
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$27.51
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$31.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$67.43
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 12.7%)
$44.89
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 12.7%)
$38.16
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$50.83
(+62%)
Analyst growth 46.5%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$46.21
(+47%)
Market implied 46.5%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$21.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$35.85
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PEGA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits for $PEGA with no newsworthy events reported on Yahoo Finance.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PEGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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