Pfizer (PFE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFE - Pfizer Inc.
$28.12
-0.40 (-1.40%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.02%
30d:
-1.51%
90d:
+15.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PFE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PFE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.26
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFE is currently trading at $28.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.71 to $28.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PFE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PFE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.71 -
$28.58
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PFE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 2.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.71 -
$28.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.34
Resistance Level
$28.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.71
Wall Street Target
$28.88
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.1%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.68
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.26
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$29.84
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.97
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -2.6%)
$54.56
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -2.6%)
$25.96
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: -2.6%)
$22.07
(-22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$62.74
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$57.04
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$19.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PFE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PFE price and gamma walls.
