PK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PK - Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$15.06
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +2.17%
30d: +6.28%
90d: +31.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PK trades at premium valuation expecting 12.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.84
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.97
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PK is currently trading at $15.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.22 to $14.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.3) compared to its historical average (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $14.22 - $14.97
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.72)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.0% growth with -1.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.22 - $14.97
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.49
Resistance Level $15.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.28
Wall Street Target $14.72 (-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.6%
Profit Margin -8.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.0% premium
PE vs Historical 28.3 vs 20.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.87 (+12%)
2-Year Target $18.89 (+25%)
3-Year Target $21.16 (+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→20) PE COMPRESSION $15.04 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.3, Growth: 3.4%) $16.65 (+11%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.4%) $12.20 (-19%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 3.4%) $10.37 (-31%)
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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