PKOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$40.96
0.60 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+4.62%
30d:
+10.26%
90d:
+41.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PKOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PKOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.29
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $40.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.56 to $39.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PKOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PKOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.56 -
$39.44
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.2% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.56 -
$39.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.92
Resistance Level
$41.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.77
Wall Street Target
$43.50
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 8.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.28
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$50.81
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$57.01
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.5%)
$98.52
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$55.92
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.5%)
$39.45
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.75
Bull Case
$86.09
(+113%)
Analyst growth 96.0%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$78.26
(+94%)
Market implied 96.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$27.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 12:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2400 shares
2026-03-16
Ronna Romney
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-12
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