PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
METAL FORGINGS & STAMPINGS
Park-Ohio (PKOH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$46.92
-0.14 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
+18.45%
30d:
-0.8%
90d:
-5.02%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$43.40 – $47.97
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.1x
STRETCHED
vs 9.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.00
+15.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
8th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$38.59 / $50.00
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.12
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $46.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.40 to $47.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.59, while resistance sits at $50.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.59, while resistance sits at $50.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$43.40 -
$47.97
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.40 -
$47.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.92
(8.4%)
Support Level
$38.59
Resistance Level
$50.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.2% growth expectation is conservative given 156% recent growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.12
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
156.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 9.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.77
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$54.93
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$59.43
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$109.43
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$66.81
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$52.90
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$79.50
(+69%)
Analyst growth 53.6%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$72.27
(+54%)
Market implied 53.6%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$32.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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