Park-Ohio (PKOH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$46.45
0.67 (1.46%)
▲
5d:
+3.38%
30d:
-5.93%
90d:
+36.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 12.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 12.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.92
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $46.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.51 to $48.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.51 -
$48.68
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.4% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.51 -
$48.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.62
Resistance Level
$47.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.62
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.2%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 8.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.21
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$58.68
(+26%)
3-Year Target
$65.96
(+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$106.45
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 12.8%)
$66.61
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$46.97
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.88
Bull Case
$98.57
(+112%)
Analyst growth 95.7%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$89.61
(+93%)
Market implied 95.7%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$31.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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