PKOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$32.38
-1.01 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-3.05%
30d:
+11.62%
90d:
+21.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.44
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $32.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.96 to $32.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.64, while resistance sits at $35.01. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PKOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.64, while resistance sits at $35.01. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PKOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.96 -
$32.26
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.96 -
$32.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.64
Resistance Level
$35.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.48
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 7.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.78
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$37.35
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$40.11
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.58
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$101.49
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$43.92
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$35.67
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.75
Bull Case
$71.70
(+115%)
Analyst growth 95.1%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$65.18
(+96%)
Market implied 95.1%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$22.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
Howard W Iv Hanna
SELL
2400 shares
2026-03-16
Ronna Romney
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-12
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