Park-Ohio (PKOH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PKOH - Park-Ohio Holdings Corp
$47.37
0.83 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
-1.39%
30d:
+6.0%
90d:
+27.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 12.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PKOH trades at premium valuation expecting 12.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.57
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PKOH is currently trading at $47.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.21 to $47.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PKOH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.21 -
$47.19
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.0% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.21 -
$47.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.16
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.38
Resistance Level
$48.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.87
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.2%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 9.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.05
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$59.42
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$66.55
(+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$107.66
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$67.93
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$48.55
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.93
Bull Case
$97.61
(+106%)
Analyst growth 90.7%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$88.74
(+87%)
Market implied 90.7%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$31.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PKOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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