POST
POST HOLDINGS, INC.
GRAIN MILL PRODUCTS
POST (POST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$81.83
-0.42 (-0.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.55%
30d:
+6.51%
90d:
+1.55%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
7d
Protect POST Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$75.61 â $83.04
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.5x
FAIR
vs 11.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$96.67
+18.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
19th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$78.63 / $87.33
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: POST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.41
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POST is currently trading at $81.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.61 to $83.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $78.63, while resistance sits at $87.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.67 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POST is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $78.63, while resistance sits at $87.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.67 (+18.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$75.61 -
$83.04
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$75.61 -
$83.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$3.58
(4.4%)
Support Level
$78.63
Resistance Level
$87.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding POST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.50
Wall Street Target
$96.67
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.67
(0%)
2-Year Target
$81.50
(0%)
3-Year Target
$81.34
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
$82.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -6.9%)
$113.82
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: -6.9%)
$65.93
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -6.9%)
$56.04
(-32%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.50
Bull Case
$117.02
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.3%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$106.38
(+30%)
Market implied 29.3%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$55.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$82.52
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share POST Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (POST)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message indicates optimism towards $POST's price movement after it surpassed $95. No recent news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
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