POST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POST - POST HOLDINGS, INC.
$91.41
-1.55 (-1.67%)
▼
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
+0.52%
90d:
-12.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.76
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POST is currently trading at $91.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.40 to $92.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.00, while resistance sits at $97.70.
Market Sentiment: POST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.83 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.00, while resistance sits at $97.70.
Market Sentiment: POST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.83 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$86.40 -
$92.31
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($115.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.40 -
$92.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.00
Resistance Level
$97.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.75
Wall Street Target
$115.83
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.1%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.48
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$85.65
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$82.91
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$91.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$240.53
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$124.72
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$106.01
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
Bull Case
$153.10
(+68%)
Analyst growth 49.7%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$139.18
(+52%)
Market implied 49.7%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$63.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$101.20
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is POST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory L Curl
SELL
6983 shares
2026-02-09
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