Pattern Group Inc. Series A (PTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTRN - Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
$16.19
-0.34 (-2.06%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.09%
30d:
-9.75%
90d:
-30.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PTRN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PTRN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.77
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTRN is currently trading at $16.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.04 to $19.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTRN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PTRN scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+63.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTRN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PTRN scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+63.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.04 -
$19.22
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.3% below Wall St target ($27.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.04 -
$19.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.11
Resistance Level
$18.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.03
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+63.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.7%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 25.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.49
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$14.51
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$13.60
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â26)
$16.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 25.5%)
$32.65
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.5%)
$30.84
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.5%)
$26.22
(+59%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$20.13
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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