PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses
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Pattern Group Inc. Series A (PTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.77
+0.41 (+2.01%)
▲
5d:
+20.41%
30d:
+19.99%
90d:
-3.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.46 – $18.85
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.7x
FAIR
vs 25.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.00
+32.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.15 / $22.19
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: PTRN is 10.2% above its trading range ($18.85). Market expects 0.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.23
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.74
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTRN is currently trading at $20.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.46 to $18.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.15, while resistance sits at $22.19.
Market Sentiment: PTRN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+32.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.15, while resistance sits at $22.19.
Market Sentiment: PTRN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+32.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.46 -
$18.85
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.46 -
$18.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$16.15
Resistance Level
$22.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 38.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.66
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.7%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.46
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.56
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.67
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.38
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 24.5%)
$39.30
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.5%)
$30.42
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 24.5%)
$25.86
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$15.87
(-22%)
Analyst growth -27.2%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$14.43
(-29%)
Market implied -27.2%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$13.48
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PTRN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Despite being 40% off its all-time high, one bullish trader on StockTwits is slowly adding to their position in $PTRN.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy the dip
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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