PubMatic (PUBM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PUBM - PubMatic, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$16.49
0.26 (1.60%) ▲
5d: -2.77%
30d: -4.02%
90d: +46.32%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: PUBM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.55
32.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PUBM is currently trading at $16.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.34 to $17.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (32.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PUBM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.93, while resistance sits at $17.88.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.30 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $15.34 - $17.61
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($20.30)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.34 - $17.61
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$1.53 (9.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.93
Resistance Level $17.88
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.31
Wall Street Target $20.30 (+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -49.5%
Profit Margin -4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.3 vs 32.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.84 (-10%)
2-Year Target $13.36 (-19%)
3-Year Target $12.02 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→32) $18.94 (+15%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.3, Growth: 56.2%) $55.65 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 56.2%) $55.28 (+235%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 56.2%) $46.98 (+185%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 32.0
Stabilization Target: $25.98 (+57.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +57.6%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajeev K Goel SELL 44000 shares 2026-04-13
Steven Pantelick SELL 16282 shares 2026-04-06
Amar K Goel SELL 6528 shares 2026-04-02

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Advanced PUBM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PUBM price and gamma walls.

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