PUBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PUBM - PubMatic, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$11.54
0.24 (2.12%) ▲
5d: +0.61%
30d: +13.03%
90d: +43.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PUBM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.76
21.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PUBM is currently trading at $11.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.43 to $11.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (34.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PUBM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.49, while resistance sits at $12.34.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.89 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $10.43 - $11.79
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 8th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.89)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.43 - $11.79
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.07 (9.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.49
Resistance Level $12.34
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.14
Wall Street Target $12.89 (+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -49.5%
Profit Margin -6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.1 vs 34.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.17 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.15 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.24 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→35) $12.32 (+9%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.1, Growth: 71.3%) $38.14 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.3%) $35.89 (+218%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 71.3%) $30.51 (+170%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 34.6
Stabilization Target: $16.90 (+49.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +49.5%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajeev K Goel SELL 44000 shares 2026-04-13
Steven Pantelick SELL 16282 shares 2026-04-06
Amar K Goel SELL 6528 shares 2026-04-02

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Advanced PUBM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PUBM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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