QIAGEN (QGEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QGEN - QIAGEN N.V.

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
$42.50
0.37 (0.88%) ▲
5d: -3.1%
30d: -1.16%
90d: +13.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: QGEN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.82
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.04
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QGEN is currently trading at $42.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.27 to $43.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QGEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: QGEN scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $42.27 - $43.91
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.07)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.27 - $43.91
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.89
Resistance Level $44.92
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.29
Wall Street Target $46.07 (+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.9%
Profit Margin 19.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 16.3 vs 16.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.80 (+1%)
2-Year Target $43.10 (+1%)
3-Year Target $43.40 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→16) PE COMPRESSION $42.64 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.2%) $64.90 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 7.2%) $52.40 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 13.8, Growth: 7.2%) $44.54 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case $62.02 (+46%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case $56.38 (+33%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case $28.65 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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