RACE Ferrari N.V. Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies Best Automakers Stocks 2026 →

Ferrari (RACE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$411.13
+5.64 (+1.39%) ▲
5d: -1.2% 30d: +3.24% 90d: -1.43%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$389.32 – $413.46
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
37.3x FAIR
vs 35.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$460.24
+11.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$397.23 / $433.99
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: RACE is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$396.04
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$245.91
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RACE is currently trading at $411.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $389.32 to $413.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.3) is in line with its historical norms (35.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RACE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $397.23, while resistance sits at $433.99.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $460.24 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $389.32 - $413.46
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $389.32 - $413.46
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$14.99 (3.6%)
Support Level $397.23
Resistance Level $433.99
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($460.24)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.29
Wall Street Target $460.24 (+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Profit Margin 22.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 37.3 vs 35.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $418.12 (+2%)
2-Year Target $425.23 (+3%)
3-Year Target $432.46 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→35) PE COMPRESSION $410.49 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 37.3, Growth: 11.1%) $564.00 (+37%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.1%) $300.34 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.1%) $255.29 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 37.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.07
Bull Case $450.09 (+10%)
Analyst growth -0.4%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case $409.17 (-1%)
Market implied -0.4%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case $279.40 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RACE)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Ferrari N.V. purchased common shares worth €57.5 million under the €250 million buyback program from September 1, 2026, with a total of 164,589 shares bought on both Euronext Milan and the New York Stock Exchange.
Key Retail Themes: Ferrari's share buyback program Positive sentiment among dealers
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 4:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive RACE Research Pages
RACE Technical Chart RACE Price Prediction RACE Intrinsic Value DCF RACE Earnings Date RACE Investment Advisor RACE Fair Price Analyzer RACE Options Chain RACE Options Advisor RACE Options Analysis RACE Competitors
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