Rambus (RMBS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RMBS - Rambus Inc
$111.97
4.68 (4.36%)
▲
5d:
+6.48%
30d:
+32.16%
90d:
-1.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: RMBS is 12.5% above its trading range ($99.57). Market expects -3.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: RMBS is 12.5% above its trading range ($99.57). Market expects -3.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.23
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RMBS is currently trading at $111.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.80 to $99.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.1) compared to its historical average (33.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RMBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: RMBS scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.86 (+32.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RMBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: RMBS scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.86 (+32.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.80 -
$99.57
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RMBS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($147.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.80 -
$99.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.38
Resistance Level
$113.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.09
Wall Street Target
$147.86
(+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
31.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.1 vs 33.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$104.05
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$100.31
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→34)
$112.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.1, Growth: 22.6%)
$206.26
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 22.6%)
$139.84
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 22.6%)
$118.86
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.19
Bull Case
$200.54
(+79%)
Analyst growth 69.9%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$182.31
(+63%)
Market implied 69.9%, PE stable at 49.0
Bear Case
$72.96
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.1 to 33.6
Stabilization Target:
$125.04
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RMBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Meera Rao
SELL
8538 shares
2026-04-14
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Advanced RMBS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RMBS price and gamma walls.
