SAM
Boston Beer Company
MALT BEVERAGES
Boston Beer (SAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$219.16
-1.00 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
-4.01%
30d:
+23.66%
90d:
+18.57%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Protect SAM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$175.03 – $214.32
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.3x
STRETCHED
vs 18.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$198.85
-9.7% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$195.01 / $232.76
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.33
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAM is currently trading at $219.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.03 to $214.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $195.01, while resistance sits at $232.76.
Market Sentiment: SAM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $195.01, while resistance sits at $232.76.
Market Sentiment: SAM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$175.03 -
$214.32
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$175.03 -
$214.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.36
(4.3%)
Support Level
$195.01
Resistance Level
$232.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($198.85)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with -3.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.32
Wall Street Target
$198.85
(-9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
-3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 18.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$231.17
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$242.73
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$254.86
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$219.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$296.69
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$276.40
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$234.94
(+7%)
Share SAM Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SAM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests that $SAM saw 30,000 shares covered in the market, and short inventory for RH is now reported as none. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Share coverage
Short inventory
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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