Boston Beer (SAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAM - Boston Beer Company
$172.55
3.03 (1.79%)
â˛
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
-6.11%
90d:
-3.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When SAM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$294.43
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$182.82
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAM is currently trading at $172.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.49 to $187.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $160.04, while resistance sits at $185.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.83 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $160.04, while resistance sits at $185.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $199.83 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$172.49 -
$187.82
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($199.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$172.49 -
$187.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$6.39
(3.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$160.04
Resistance Level
$185.87
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.75
Wall Street Target
$199.83
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.0%
Profit Margin
-3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.86
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$161.35
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$156.03
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â19)
$172.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.3%)
$310.12
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$257.53
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 14.3%)
$218.90
(+27%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$190.58
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
STZ
Constellation Brands IncâĻ |
BUY
26 analysts |
$171 | 49 HOLD |
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co âĻ |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$45 | 41 HOLD |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV âĻ |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$97 | 39 SELL |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico MexicaâĻ |
BUY
13 analysts |
$135 | 42 HOLD |
|
ABEV
Ambev SA ADR |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$3 | 40 SELL |
Advanced SAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAM price and gamma walls.
