SAP (SAP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAP - SAP SE
$208.38
-2.41 (-1.14%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.09%
30d:
-0.62%
90d:
+29.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SAP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$315.58
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAP is currently trading at $208.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $208.37 to $216.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.50 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.50 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$208.37 -
$216.99
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($251.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$208.37 -
$216.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.17
Resistance Level
$214.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.76
Wall Street Target
$251.50
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.6%
Profit Margin
20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$218.17
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$225.80
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$233.71
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$210.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.6%)
$342.50
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.6%)
$321.10
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 17.6%)
$272.94
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.59
Bull Case
$292.70
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$266.09
(+26%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$141.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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