SBAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBAC - SBA Communications Corp
$187.10
-2.93 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
+3.62%
30d:
-9.76%
90d:
-16.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
20d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SBAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SBAC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$232.87
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBAC is currently trading at $187.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.89 to $201.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBAC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $193.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SBAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.60 (+24.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBAC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $193.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SBAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.60 (+24.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$181.89 -
$201.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($233.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.89 -
$201.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$193.83
Resistance Level
$210.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.24
Wall Street Target
$233.60
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.7%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$184.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$183.75
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$186.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 4.3%)
$212.28
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.3%)
$198.98
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.3%)
$169.13
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.53
Bull Case
$170.72
(-10%)
Analyst growth -15.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$155.20
(-18%)
Market implied -15.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$124.09
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$190.02
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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SELL
2026-01-23
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SELL
2026-01-22
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