SBA Communications (SBAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBAC - SBA Communications Corp
$185.47
4.05 (2.23%)
â˛
5d:
-3.16%
30d:
+1.31%
90d:
-8.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SBAC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SBAC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$246.03
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBAC is currently trading at $185.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.41 to $188.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $179.52, while resistance sits at $194.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $226.40 (+22.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBAC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $179.52, while resistance sits at $194.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $226.40 (+22.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$181.41 -
$188.47
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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Holding SBAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($226.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.41 -
$188.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.52
Resistance Level
$194.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.66
Wall Street Target
$226.40
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Profit Margin
34.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.43
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$181.41
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$179.42
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â24)
$186.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 6.1%)
$221.80
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.1%)
$197.42
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.1%)
$167.81
(-10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.00
Bull Case
$181.48
(-2%)
Analyst growth -9.1%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$164.98
(-11%)
Market implied -9.1%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$123.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$192.34
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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