SBAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBAC - SBA Communications Corp
$182.59
2.05 (1.14%)
â˛
5d:
-1.41%
30d:
+4.43%
90d:
-12.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SBAC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SBAC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.86
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBAC is currently trading at $182.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.61 to $185.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.25 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBAC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.25 (+25.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$177.61 -
$185.89
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SBAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($228.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$177.61 -
$185.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.16
Resistance Level
$187.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.19
Wall Street Target
$228.25
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Profit Margin
34.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.65
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$175.26
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$171.93
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â24)
$182.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 6.3%)
$218.86
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$198.34
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$168.59
(-7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.26
Bull Case
$180.54
(-1%)
Analyst growth -11.4%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$164.13
(-10%)
Market implied -11.4%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$125.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$192.85
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SBAC price and gamma walls.
