SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$77.94
-2.49 (-3.10%)
▼
5d:
-18.22%
30d:
-24.82%
90d:
-21.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SE is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SE is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.81
36.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $77.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.53 to $103.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.75 (+98.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.75 (+98.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$90.53 -
$103.36
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 98.6% below Wall St target ($154.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.53 -
$103.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.99
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.96
Wall Street Target
$154.75
(+98.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.32
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$65.25
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$59.71
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→20)
$77.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.7%)
$241.72
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 32.7%)
$182.12
(+134%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 32.7%)
$154.80
(+99%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$176.95
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$160.86
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$54.69
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$101.57
(+30.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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