SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$106.74
0.50 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
+6.74%
30d:
+4.31%
90d:
+25.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.26
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $106.74, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.82 to $109.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.59, while resistance sits at $110.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.26 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.59, while resistance sits at $110.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.26 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$95.82 -
$109.29
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($142.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.82 -
$109.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.59
Resistance Level
$110.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.33
Wall Street Target
$142.26
(+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.87
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$111.05
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$113.27
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 35.6%)
$271.31
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 35.6%)
$266.05
(+149%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 35.6%)
$226.15
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$233.73
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.9
Base Case
$212.48
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.7
Bear Case
$72.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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