SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$89.04
-2.24 (-2.45%)
▼
5d:
+7.35%
30d:
+2.88%
90d:
+12.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.41
27.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $89.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.37 to $91.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.23, while resistance sits at $97.80.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.50 (+57.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $82.23, while resistance sits at $97.80.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.50 (+57.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.37 -
$91.66
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.8% below Wall St target ($140.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.37 -
$91.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.23
Resistance Level
$97.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.80
Wall Street Target
$140.50
(+57.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.30
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$81.72
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$78.29
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$89.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.0%)
$284.25
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 35.0%)
$219.25
(+146%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 35.0%)
$186.36
(+109%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$200.82
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case
$182.56
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case
$62.07
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$101.23
(+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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