SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$106.24
-1.45 (-1.35%)
▼
5d:
-6.07%
30d:
-17.07%
90d:
+23.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$198.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.01
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $106.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.43 to $121.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $106.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.11 (+47.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $106.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.11 (+47.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$110.43 -
$121.78
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.9% below Wall St target ($157.11)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.43 -
$121.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.18
Resistance Level
$120.91
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.47
Wall Street Target
$157.11
(+47.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.73
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$109.24
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$110.76
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 35.9%)
$266.59
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.9%)
$262.70
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 35.9%)
$223.29
(+110%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$236.92
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.3
Base Case
$215.38
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.1
Bear Case
$73.23
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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