SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$95.27
-2.09 (-2.15%)
▼
5d:
-5.42%
30d:
-15.43%
90d:
-7.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.81
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $95.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.15 to $115.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.11 (+62.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.11 (+62.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$100.15 -
$115.11
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.8% below Wall St target ($155.11)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.15 -
$115.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.70
Resistance Level
$105.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.38
Wall Street Target
$155.11
(+62.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.17
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$91.12
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$89.12
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$95.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 35.3%)
$262.02
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 35.3%)
$236.13
(+148%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 35.3%)
$200.71
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$214.19
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.8
Base Case
$194.72
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$66.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$101.57
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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10000 shares
2026-04-22
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800 shares
2026-04-22
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