SE Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share Services-Miscellaneous Business Services

SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$73.99
-2.81 (-3.66%) ▼
5d: -7.73% 30d: -22.87% 90d: -40.0%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$74.22 – $92.85
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x CHEAP
vs 19.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$145.32
+96.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$72.48 / $85.16
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.54
37.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $73.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.22 to $92.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.32 (+96.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $74.22 - $92.85
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $74.22 - $92.85
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $72.48
Resistance Level $85.16
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 96.4% below Wall St target ($145.32)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.7%) - monitor closely

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.61
Wall Street Target $145.32 (+96.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 48.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.7%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.6 vs 19.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $67.55 (-9%)
2-Year Target $61.68 (-17%)
3-Year Target $56.31 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→19) $73.98 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 36.9%) $257.97 (+249%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 36.9%) $189.82 (+157%)
Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: 36.9%) $161.35 (+118%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case $167.84 (+119%)
Analyst growth 95.7%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case $152.58 (+99%)
Market implied 95.7%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case $53.01 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 19.2
Stabilization Target: $97.21 (+31.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +31.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SE)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SE are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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