SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$121.94
-1.38 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
+7.5%
30d:
+14.8%
90d:
+38.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.53
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $121.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.85 to $117.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (19.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $107.52, while resistance sits at $131.94.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.97 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $107.52, while resistance sits at $131.94.
Market Sentiment: SE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.97 (+15.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$102.85 -
$117.65
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($141.97)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.7% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$102.85 -
$117.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.52
Resistance Level
$131.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.49
Wall Street Target
$141.97
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 19.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.58
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$140.40
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$149.81
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$123.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 35.6%)
$307.38
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.6%)
$264.76
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 35.6%)
$225.05
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$281.84
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 55.9
Base Case
$256.22
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 50.8
Bear Case
$87.11
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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