SE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SE - Sea Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$113.30
2.16 (1.94%)
▲
5d:
+7.9%
30d:
+37.43%
90d:
+31.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SE is 11.7% above its trading range ($101.42). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SE is 11.7% above its trading range ($101.42). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.63
6.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SE is currently trading at $113.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.41 to $101.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.26 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.26 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.41 -
$101.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($140.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.41 -
$101.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.23
Resistance Level
$97.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.17
Wall Street Target
$140.26
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.14
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$119.29
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$123.58
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$110.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.6%)
$285.05
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 35.6%)
$277.02
(+149%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 35.6%)
$235.47
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$239.62
(+116%)
Analyst growth 99.6%, PE expands to 45.6
Base Case
$217.83
(+96%)
Market implied 99.6%, PE stable at 41.5
Bear Case
$74.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gang Ye
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-22
Yanjun Wang
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
Jingye Chen
SELL
800 shares
2026-04-22
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