SEM
SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORP
SERVICES-HOSPITALS
SELECT MEDICAL (SEM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.51
-0.02 (-0.12%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.3%
30d:
+0.06%
90d:
+1.35%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (66%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.0x
FAIR
vs 11.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.63
+0.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.46 / $16.68
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SEM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When SEM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.64
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEM is currently trading at $16.51, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$16.46
Resistance Level
$16.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.62)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 5.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.04
Wall Street Target
$16.63
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$16.74
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$16.86
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$41.71
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$23.05
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 11.8%)
$19.59
(+19%)
Share SEM Analysis
Share this live SEM analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SEM)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SEM are bearish (sentiment score -0.30) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare CorporaâĻ |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$306 | 47 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$24 | 55 HOLD |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
26 analysts |
$477 | 39 SELL |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$156 | 34 SELL |
|
CON
Concentra Group HoldingsâĻ |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$44 | 41 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive SEM Research Pages
