SFL SFL Corporation Ltd. Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight

SFL (SFL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$10.94
+0.19 (+1.77%) ▲
5d: -6.66% 30d: -19.44% 90d: -9.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$11.57 – $13.33
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.6x CHEAP
vs 31.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.30
+21.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.50 / $13.20
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SFL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $10.96 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 7.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.04
Based on -7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.61
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SFL is currently trading at $10.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.57 to $13.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (31.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 299.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SFL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.50, while resistance sits at $13.20.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.30 (+21.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.57 - $13.33
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $11.57 - $13.33
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.49 (4.4%)
Support Level $10.50
Resistance Level $13.20
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($13.30)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.7%) - monitor closely

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.57
Wall Street Target $13.30 (+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 299.9%
Profit Margin 12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.6 vs 31.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.85 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.86 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.98 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→31) $12.02 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -18.2%) $7.98 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -18.2%) $7.70 (-30%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -18.2%) $6.54 (-40%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case $9.39 (-14%)
Analyst growth -20.6%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case $8.53 (-22%)
Market implied -20.6%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case $7.31 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 31.0
Stabilization Target: $16.49 (+50.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +50.7%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SFL)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: SFL Corporation announced a $170 million contract for the semi-submersible rig Hercules in Canada, with a expected start date in Q1 2027.
Key Retail Themes: New Contract Rig Utilization
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SFL Option Strategies

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Part A: Deep-Dive SFL Research Pages
SFL Technical Chart SFL Price Prediction SFL Intrinsic Value DCF SFL Earnings Date SFL Investment Advisor SFL Fair Price Analyzer SFL Options Chain SFL Options Advisor SFL Options Analysis SFL Competitors
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