SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$105.33
-1.62 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
-4.89%
30d:
+1.05%
90d:
-22.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.21
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.74
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $105.33, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.00 to $112.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.52, while resistance sits at $116.25.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.91 (+51.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.52, while resistance sits at $116.25.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.91 (+51.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$105.00 -
$112.35
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.8% below Wall St target ($159.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.00 -
$112.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.52
Resistance Level
$116.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.44
Wall Street Target
$159.91
(+51.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 25.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.06
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$87.61
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$79.90
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→26)
$105.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$216.01
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 22.3%)
$192.77
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 22.3%)
$163.85
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$188.61
(+79%)
Analyst growth 60.3%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$171.47
(+63%)
Market implied 60.3%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$72.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$138.73
(+31.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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