SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$103.17
5.72 (5.87%)
▲
5d:
+9.44%
30d:
+10.02%
90d:
+3.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
Get Alerted When SITE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.64
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.58
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $103.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.62 to $94.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SITE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.25 (+15.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SITE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.25 (+15.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$87.62 -
$94.84
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($119.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.62 -
$94.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.16
Resistance Level
$103.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.84
Wall Street Target
$119.25
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 23.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.25
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$95.48
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$91.85
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$103.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 19.5%)
$175.84
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.5%)
$167.54
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 19.5%)
$142.41
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$145.37
(+41%)
Analyst growth 35.6%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$132.15
(+28%)
Market implied 35.6%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$66.27
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$115.82
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Industrial Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Industrial Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
QXO
QXO, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$26 | 67 BUY |
|
FERG
Ferguson Plc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$283 | 51 HOLD |
|
WCC
WESCO International Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$404 | 51 HOLD |
|
XMTR
Xometry Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$112 | 56 HOLD |
|
FAST
Fastenal Company |
HOLD
18 analysts |
$51 | 61 BUY |