SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$89.56
0.09 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
-8.88%
90d:
-19.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.34
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.05
35.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $89.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.79 to $97.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (23.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.92, while resistance sits at $95.21.
Market Sentiment: SITE scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.08 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.92, while resistance sits at $95.21.
Market Sentiment: SITE scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.08 (+41.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.79 -
$97.32
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($127.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.79 -
$97.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.93
Resistance Level
$95.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$127.08
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 23.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.69
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$72.70
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$65.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$89.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 21.7%)
$189.04
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 21.7%)
$161.34
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 21.7%)
$137.14
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$138.69
(+55%)
Analyst growth 40.9%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$126.08
(+41%)
Market implied 40.9%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$60.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 23.8
Stabilization Target:
$122.42
(+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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