SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
WHOLESALE-PROFESSIONAL & COMMERCIAL EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$114.25
-1.91 (-1.64%)
▼
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
+26.45%
90d:
+16.87%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$90.68 – $112.17
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.7x
FAIR
vs 23.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$122.25
+7.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$104.52 / $119.56
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$205.65
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.69
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $114.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.68 to $112.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $104.52, while resistance sits at $119.56.
Market Sentiment: SITE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $104.52, while resistance sits at $119.56.
Market Sentiment: SITE scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$90.68 -
$112.17
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$90.68 -
$112.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$104.52
Resistance Level
$119.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($122.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.67
Wall Street Target
$122.25
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 23.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$113.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$111.98
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$110.86
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$114.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 19.8%)
$196.26
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$171.96
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$146.17
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$169.94
(+49%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$154.49
(+35%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$78.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$117.95
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SITE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CEO of $SITE, Black Douglas, purchased a large number of shares, boosting investor confidence.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO buying shares
Buyer sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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