SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$102.85
-0.97 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
-9.61%
30d:
-18.0%
90d:
-26.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.01
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.13
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $102.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.19 to $127.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+56.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+56.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$109.19 -
$127.91
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.3% below Wall St target ($160.73)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.19 -
$127.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.67
Resistance Level
$116.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.06
Wall Street Target
$160.73
(+56.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 26.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$83.31
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$74.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→27)
$105.42
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 21.7%)
$213.04
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 21.7%)
$185.33
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 21.7%)
$157.53
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$197.79
(+77%)
Analyst growth 59.6%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$179.81
(+61%)
Market implied 59.6%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$76.59
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$144.62
(+40.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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