SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$105.40
-1.26 (-1.18%)
▼
5d:
-1.73%
30d:
-8.74%
90d:
-21.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SITE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 35% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SITE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 35% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.01
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.13
30.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $105.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.22 to $112.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.52, while resistance sits at $116.25.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+52.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $100.52, while resistance sits at $116.25.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+52.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$104.22 -
$112.32
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.5% below Wall St target ($160.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.22 -
$112.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.52
Resistance Level
$116.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.53
Wall Street Target
$160.73
(+52.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.70
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$86.90
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$78.90
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→26)
$105.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.7%)
$211.77
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 21.7%)
$189.92
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 21.7%)
$161.43
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$188.79
(+79%)
Analyst growth 59.6%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$171.63
(+63%)
Market implied 59.6%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$73.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$140.84
(+33.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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