SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$95.94
0.35 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
-2.74%
90d:
-16.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SITE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$230.75
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.27
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $95.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.01 to $103.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.08 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.08 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$96.01 -
$103.09
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($127.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.01 -
$103.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.10
Resistance Level
$104.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.65
Wall Street Target
$127.08
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.40
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$79.62
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$72.54
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$96.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.7%)
$185.98
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 21.7%)
$172.84
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 21.7%)
$146.91
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$148.18
(+54%)
Analyst growth 40.9%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$134.71
(+40%)
Market implied 40.9%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$65.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$127.05
(+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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