SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock
$706.90
-46.22 (-6.14%)
▼
5d:
-4.79%
30d:
-0.69%
90d:
+104.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$526.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$326.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $706.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $673.76 to $735.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 65.4) is in line with its historical norms (70.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $609.15, while resistance sits at $769.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $609.15, while resistance sits at $769.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$673.76 -
$735.03
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($837.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$673.76 -
$735.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$84.11
(11.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$609.15
Resistance Level
$769.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
65.36
Wall Street Target
$837.50
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
65.4 vs 70.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$688.52
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$670.62
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$653.18
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 65→71)
$707.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 65.4, Growth: 37.9%)
$1852.89
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.9%)
$617.40
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 37.9%)
$524.79
(-26%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 65.4 to 70.8
Stabilization Target:
$765.69
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
2419 shares
2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1247 shares
2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1249 shares
2026-03-25
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Advanced SITM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SITM price and gamma walls.
