SITM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITM - SiTime Corporation Common Stock
$623.83
21.28 (3.53%)
▲
5d:
+5.34%
30d:
-13.51%
90d:
+39.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$600.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$372.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITM is currently trading at $623.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $624.25 to $720.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 50.6) compared to its historical average (69.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $564.00, while resistance sits at $757.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SITM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $564.00, while resistance sits at $757.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: SITM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $837.50 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$624.25 -
$720.64
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($837.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$624.25 -
$720.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$90.09
(14.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$564.00
Resistance Level
$757.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
50.60
Wall Street Target
$837.50
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
50.6 vs 69.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$561.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$505.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$454.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51→70)
$627.30
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 50.6, Growth: 45.2%)
$1911.45
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 45.2%)
$822.71
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 45.2%)
$699.30
(+12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.6 to 69.8
Stabilization Target:
$860.49
(+37.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
2419 shares
2026-04-17
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1247 shares
2026-04-10
Piyush B Sevalia
SELL
1249 shares
2026-03-25
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Advanced SITM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SITM price and gamma walls.
