SMSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMSI - Smith Micro Software Inc
$0.81
-0.04 (-4.41%)
▼
5d:
-1.55%
30d:
-9.55%
90d:
+49.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When SMSI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SMSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SMSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.09
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMSI is currently trading at $0.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.80 to $0.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.0) is in line with its historical norms (3.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $0.76, while resistance sits at $0.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.25 (+303.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $0.76, while resistance sits at $0.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.25 (+303.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$0.80 -
$0.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 303.7% below Wall St target ($3.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.80 -
$0.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.13
(16.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.76
Resistance Level
$0.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.03
Wall Street Target
$3.25
(+303.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-84.0%
Profit Margin
-165.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 3.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.81
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$0.82
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$0.83
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$0.80
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SMSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William W Smith Jr
SELL
36597 shares
2025-12-11
William W Smith Jr
SELL
38697 shares
2025-12-10
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$280 | 56 HOLD |
|
ESTC
Elastic NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$78 | 68 BUY |
|
INTU
Intuit Inc |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$522 | 55 HOLD |
|
CRM
Salesforce.com Inc |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$265 | 64 BUY |
|
TEAM
Atlassian Corp Plc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$143 | 57 HOLD |
