SMTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMTC - Semtech Corp
$132.15
-3.98 (-2.92%)
▼
5d:
-4.85%
30d:
-14.34%
90d:
+55.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 24, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
Get Alerted When SMTC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SMTC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SMTC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMTC is currently trading at $132.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.30 to $166.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 60.5) compared to its historical average (48.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMTC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.89, while resistance sits at $165.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $205.25 (+55.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMTC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.89, while resistance sits at $165.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $205.25 (+55.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$139.30 -
$166.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.3% below Wall St target ($205.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.30 -
$166.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$122.89
Resistance Level
$165.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
60.49
Wall Street Target
$205.25
(+55.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.7%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
60.5 vs 48.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.19
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$153.00
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$164.63
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60→49)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 60.5, Growth: 28.9%)
$283.03
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.9%)
$101.90
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 28.9%)
$86.62
(-35%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SMTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul V Walsh Jr
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-22
Hong Q Hou
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-10
Martin Burvill
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-09
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$524 | 55 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$302 | 61 BUY |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$252 | 53 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$516 | 60 BUY |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$308 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced SMTC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMTC price and gamma walls.
