SNDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNDR - Schneider National, Inc.
$35.74
1.60 (4.69%)
▲
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
-1.81%
90d:
+14.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SNDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SNDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.04
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNDR is currently trading at $35.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.70 to $37.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.69, while resistance sits at $39.24. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.69, while resistance sits at $39.24. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.70 -
$37.64
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.31)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.70 -
$37.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.69
Resistance Level
$39.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.69
Wall Street Target
$36.31
(+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.53
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.31
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$35.10
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$35.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.7, Growth: 72.7%)
$120.62
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 72.7%)
$115.30
(+223%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 72.7%)
$98.01
(+174%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 39.22 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.91
Bull Case
$43.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$35.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.2
Bear Case
$27.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$36.42
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darrell George Campbell
SELL
6000 shares
2026-02-19
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