Schneider National (SNDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNDR - Schneider National, Inc.
$32.89
0.58 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+5.25%
30d:
-2.05%
90d:
-7.92%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SNDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.83
26.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNDR is currently trading at $32.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.20 to $34.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SNDR scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.50 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SNDR scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.50 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.20 -
$34.61
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.20 -
$34.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.90
Resistance Level
$33.38
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.25
Wall Street Target
$37.50
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 21.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.64
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$30.44
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$29.28
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$33.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 60.5%)
$117.64
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 60.5%)
$111.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 60.5%)
$94.35
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.68
Bull Case
$39.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$32.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$25.16
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 21.7
Stabilization Target:
$37.08
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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