Schneider National (SNDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNDR - Schneider National, Inc.
$31.12
0.20 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
-3.41%
90d:
-17.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNDR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNDR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.57
28.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNDR is currently trading at $31.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.33 to $33.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.13, while resistance sits at $32.06.
Market Sentiment: SNDR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.86 (+15.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.13, while resistance sits at $32.06.
Market Sentiment: SNDR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.86 (+15.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$31.33 -
$33.41
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.86)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.33 -
$33.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.13
Resistance Level
$32.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.57
Wall Street Target
$35.86
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.66
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$28.26
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$26.94
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$31.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 58.6%)
$112.33
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 58.6%)
$105.03
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 58.6%)
$89.28
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$68.02
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.0
Base Case
$61.84
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.1
Bear Case
$21.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$36.03
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SNDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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