SiriusPoint (SPNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$27.05
-0.33 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+4.76%
30d:
+7.17%
90d:
+16.44%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$24.87 – $26.17
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.9x
STRETCHED
vs 8.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$30.25
+11.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.44 / $27.39
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.14
Based on 0.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $27.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.87 to $26.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPNT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.25 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPNT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.25 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.87 -
$26.17
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$24.87 -
$26.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$25.44
Resistance Level
$27.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.25)
- BEARISH: Market expects 5.3% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.92
Wall Street Target
$30.25
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 8.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.48
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$29.99
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$31.58
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.0%)
$47.98
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -4.0%)
$23.96
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -4.0%)
$20.37
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.07
Bull Case
$20.18
(-25%)
Analyst growth -33.0%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case
$18.35
(-32%)
Market implied -33.0%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$18.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SPNT)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $SPNT with 100.0% of bullish messages and no bearish or neutral sentiment. No recent news articles were available for analysis.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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