SiriusPoint (SPNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPNT - SiriusPoint Ltd.
$25.96
0.28 (1.09%)
▲
5d:
+4.38%
30d:
+2.12%
90d:
+2.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.07
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $25.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.54 to $25.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.75 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.75 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.54 -
$25.47
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SPNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.54 -
$25.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.66
Resistance Level
$26.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.41
Wall Street Target
$28.75
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.92
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$27.92
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$28.95
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.8%)
$61.23
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 3.8%)
$29.00
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 3.8%)
$24.65
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.09
Bull Case
$19.06
(-27%)
Analyst growth -32.5%, PE expands to 6.9
Base Case
$17.33
(-33%)
Market implied -32.5%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$17.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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