SiriusPoint (SPNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPNT - SiriusPoint Ltd.
$24.20
-0.16 (-0.66%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
+5.68%
90d:
+2.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SPNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SPNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.23
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $24.20, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.25 to $24.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.67 (+14.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.67 (+14.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.25 -
$24.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
54th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SPNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 54th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.25 -
$24.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.94
(8.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.72
Resistance Level
$25.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.77
Wall Street Target
$27.67
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.61
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$25.03
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$25.46
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.0%)
$66.21
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 6.0%)
$28.78
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 6.0%)
$24.46
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.08
Bull Case
$18.13
(-25%)
Analyst growth -32.4%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$16.48
(-32%)
Market implied -32.4%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$16.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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