Sprout Social (SPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPT - Sprout Social, Inc Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$10.80
0.19 (1.79%) ▲
5d: -5.01%
30d: +13.09%
90d: +51.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.78
21.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPT is currently trading at $10.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.30 to $11.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.04, while resistance sits at $11.86.

Market Sentiment: SPT scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $9.30 - $11.10
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 45.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.44)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.30 - $11.10
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.04
Resistance Level $11.86
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.01
Wall Street Target $10.44 (-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.8%
Profit Margin -6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.0 vs 7.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.62 (-2%)
2-Year Target $10.44 (-3%)
3-Year Target $10.26 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) $10.82 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 36.5%) $78.96 (+631%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 36.5%) $27.46 (+154%)
Bear: (PE: 6.0, Growth: 36.5%) $23.34 (+116%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.4
Stabilization Target: $11.39 (+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.5%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 40000 shares 2026-04-10

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