SRAD Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Best Computer Services Stocks 2026 →

SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$13.38
+0.01 (+0.07%) ▲
5d: -7.66% 30d: +7.9% 90d: -1.47%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (32%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$11.76 – $13.32
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.8x FAIR
vs 29.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.73
+32.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.83 / $15.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SRAD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $11.93 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $13.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.76 to $13.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.8) compared to its historical average (29.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.82, while resistance sits at $15.07.

Market Sentiment: SRAD scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.73 (+32.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $11.76 - $13.32
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 31.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $11.76 - $13.32
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $11.83
Resistance Level $15.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($17.73)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with 24.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.81
Wall Street Target $17.73 (+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -61.6%
Profit Margin 1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium
PE vs Historical 32.8 vs 29.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.92 (+4%)
2-Year Target $14.49 (+8%)
3-Year Target $15.08 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→29) PE COMPRESSION $13.33 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.8, Growth: 103.7%) $45.12 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 103.7%) $27.31 (+104%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 103.7%) $23.22 (+74%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 31.85 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.42
Bull Case $16.14 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case $13.37 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case $10.23 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SRAD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Sportradar reported Q3 2026 earnings with 24% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by expansion into prediction markets and content integration. Long-term investors are optimistic about the potential of these areas.
Key Retail Themes: Expansion into prediction markets and content integration are driving Sportradar's growth New revenue streams from supplying official data feeds to exchanges, brokers, and market makers
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive SRAD Research Pages
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