SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$14.58
-0.48 (-3.19%)
▼
5d:
-8.82%
30d:
+9.38%
90d:
-25.65%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.57
35.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $14.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.88 to $15.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (30.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.51, while resistance sits at $16.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SRAD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.21 (+45.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.51, while resistance sits at $16.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SRAD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.21 (+45.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.88 -
$15.59
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.5% below Wall St target ($21.21)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.88 -
$15.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.51
Resistance Level
$16.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.53
Wall Street Target
$21.21
(+45.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 30.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.12
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.63
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→31)
$16.60
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 69.7%)
$54.89
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 69.7%)
$49.21
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 69.7%)
$41.83
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.40
Bull Case
$17.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$14.58
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$11.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 30.5
Stabilization Target:
$22.77
(+56.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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