SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
$12.91
0.21 (1.65%) ▲
5d: -1.53%
30d: -0.62%
90d: -23.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $12.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.60 to $13.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (28.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.14, while resistance sits at $13.46.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.66 (+44.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $12.60 - $13.24
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.6% below Wall St target ($18.66)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.60 - $13.24
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.14
Resistance Level $13.46
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.10
Wall Street Target $18.66 (+44.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%
Profit Margin 1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.2% premium
PE vs Historical 33.1 vs 28.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.58 (+5%)
2-Year Target $14.29 (+11%)
3-Year Target $15.03 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→28) PE COMPRESSION $12.90 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.1, Growth: 50.0%) $43.57 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 50.0%) $26.55 (+106%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 50.0%) $22.57 (+75%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.44
Bull Case $15.59 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case $12.91 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case $9.88 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Net
NEUTRAL

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