SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$11.74
-0.25 (-2.09%)
▼
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
-13.68%
90d:
-17.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $11.60 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SRAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SRAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.79
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $11.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.85 to $13.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.1) is in line with its historical norms (28.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRAD scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.10 (+54.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRAD scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.10 (+54.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.85 -
$13.03
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.2% below Wall St target ($18.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.85 -
$13.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.39
Resistance Level
$12.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.10
Wall Street Target
$18.10
(+54.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
30.1 vs 28.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.90
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$12.07
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$12.24
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.1, Growth: 50.0%)
$39.62
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 50.0%)
$26.14
(+123%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 50.0%)
$22.22
(+89%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.39
Bull Case
$14.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$11.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.3
Bear Case
$8.98
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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