SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares
$12.91
0.21 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
-1.53%
30d:
-0.62%
90d:
-23.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SRAD trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $12.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.60 to $13.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (28.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.14, while resistance sits at $13.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.66 (+44.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.14, while resistance sits at $13.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.66 (+44.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.60 -
$13.24
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.6% below Wall St target ($18.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (47/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.60 -
$13.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.14
Resistance Level
$13.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.10
Wall Street Target
$18.66
(+44.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 28.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.58
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.29
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$15.03
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: 50.0%)
$43.57
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 50.0%)
$26.55
(+106%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 50.0%)
$22.57
(+75%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.44
Bull Case
$15.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$12.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$9.88
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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