Is SRAD stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SRAD is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of SRAD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SRAD to be between $12.24 and $13.25. The current price is $11.86.

What is the analyst price target for SRAD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SRAD is $18.20. This implies a potential upside of 53.4% from current levels.

SRAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SRAD - Sportradar Group AG Class A Ordinary Shares

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

$11.86

0.30 (2.60%) ▲

5d: -9.4%

30d: -3.66%

90d: -20.99%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your SRAD Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 24, 2026 at $13.13 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$18.99

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$11.79

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SRAD is currently trading at $11.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.24 to $13.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.4) is in line with its historical norms (28.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SRAD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.39, while resistance sits at $13.95.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.20 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $12.24 - $13.25

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 82.9%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($18.20)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 18.9% revenue growth
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.4%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.24 - $13.25

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.39

Resistance Level $13.95

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.41

Wall Street Target $18.20 (+53.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%

Profit Margin 1.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium

PE vs Historical 30.4 vs 28.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $12.10 (+2%)

2-Year Target $12.34 (+4%)

3-Year Target $12.59 (+6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→29) PE COMPRESSION $11.88 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 30.4, Growth: 50.0%) $40.03 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 50.0%) $26.85 (+126%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 50.0%) $22.82 (+92%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 30.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.39

Bull Case $14.32 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.8

Base Case $11.86 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.3

Bear Case $9.07 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM

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Advanced SRAD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SRAD price and gamma walls.

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