STM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.
$68.47
-2.99 (-4.18%)
▼
5d:
-4.09%
30d:
-3.21%
90d:
+73.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $68.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.81 to $76.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.0) compared to its historical average (23.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.87, while resistance sits at $75.24. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.87, while resistance sits at $75.24. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$69.81 -
$76.85
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.48)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 23.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.81 -
$76.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.87
Resistance Level
$75.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.04
Wall Street Target
$68.48
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.62
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$74.91
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$78.36
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 54.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.25
Bull Case
$82.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 57.4
Base Case
$68.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 54.6
Bear Case
$52.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 49.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.
