Is STM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, STM is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: STM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of STM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for STM to be between $50.00 and $54.01. The current price is $51.51.

What is the analyst price target for STM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for STM is $75.04. This implies a potential upside of 45.7% from current levels.

STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.

Semiconductors & Related Devices

$51.51

0.77 (1.52%) ▲

5d: +0.45%

30d: -4.93%

90d: -34.06%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your STM Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 9, 2026 at $51.65 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$114.50

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$71.09

27.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $51.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.00 to $54.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.04 (+45.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $50.00 - $54.01

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($75.04)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $50.00 - $54.01

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $48.48

Resistance Level $52.87

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.33

Wall Street Target $75.04 (+45.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -33.3%

Profit Margin 3.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 20.3 vs 23.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $49.30 (-4%)

2-Year Target $47.18 (-8%)

3-Year Target $45.15 (-12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→23) $51.53 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.3, Growth: 89.2%) $173.85 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 89.2%) $172.52 (+235%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 89.2%) $146.64 (+185%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 23.2

Stabilization Target: $58.80 (+14.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.1%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced STM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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