STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$46.26
+1.56 (+3.49%)
â˛
5d:
+1.45%
30d:
-6.68%
90d:
-14.21%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect STM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$43.55 â $52.22
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.5x
CHEAP
vs 22.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.46
+52.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$39.69 / $50.03
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.82
35.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $46.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.55 to $52.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.69, while resistance sits at $50.03. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.46 (+52.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.69, while resistance sits at $50.03. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.46 (+52.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$43.55 -
$52.22
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.55 -
$52.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$39.69
Resistance Level
$50.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding STM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.3% below Wall St target ($70.46)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.52
Wall Street Target
$70.46
(+52.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.56
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.15
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$36.02
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â23)
$46.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 93.7%)
$176.95
(+283%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 93.7%)
$156.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 93.7%)
$132.71
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.73
Bull Case
$53.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$44.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$34.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$59.40
(+28.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (STM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
STMicroelectronics forecasts higher Q4 revenue due to strong demand for AI chips, reporting a 17.9% YoY increase in third-quarter sales.
Key Retail Themes:
recovery in semiconductor sales
growth in artificial intelligence infrastructure
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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