STMicroelectronics (STM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STM - STMicroelectronics N.V.
$44.08
-3.35 (-7.06%)
▼
5d:
-5.41%
30d:
-15.97%
90d:
-14.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
Get Alerted When STM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.87
36.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STM is currently trading at $44.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.03 to $54.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.62 (+57.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.62 (+57.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.03 -
$54.60
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.3% below Wall St target ($74.62)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.03 -
$54.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.28
Resistance Level
$53.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.72
Wall Street Target
$74.63
(+57.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.39
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$41.55
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$38.89
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$47.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 88.9%)
$169.87
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 88.9%)
$160.08
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 88.9%)
$136.06
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.37
Bull Case
$57.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$47.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$36.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$57.78
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$1561 | 62 BUY |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
62 analysts |
$329 | 51 HOLD |
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
50 analysts |
$528 | 49 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$339 | 49 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$628 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced STM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STM price and gamma walls.
