SXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SXC - SUNCOKE ENERGY INC

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
$9.69
0.29 (3.09%) ▲
5d: +3.53%
30d: +7.79%
90d: +19.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SXC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.80
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SXC is currently trading at $9.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.63 to $9.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.8) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 29.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SXC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $8.63 - $9.50
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.50)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 29.5% growth expectation is conservative given 650% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.63 - $9.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.03
Resistance Level $9.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.79
Wall Street Target $9.50 (-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 650.0%
Profit Margin -2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +29.5% premium
PE vs Historical 32.8 vs 15.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +29.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.32 (+30%)
2-Year Target $15.95 (+68%)
3-Year Target $20.65 (+117%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→15) PE COMPRESSION $9.51 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.8, Growth: -9.4%) $7.08 (+-26%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -9.4%) $4.34 (-54%)
Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: -9.4%) $3.26 (-66%)
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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