TAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAK - Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited American Depositary Shares (each representing 1/2 of a share of Common Stock)
$16.51
-0.32 (-1.93%)
▼
5d:
-5.79%
30d:
-2.28%
90d:
-0.33%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TAK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TAK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TAK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.97
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAK is currently trading at $16.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.24 to $17.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.2) compared to its historical average (0.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.77 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.77 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.24 -
$17.27
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($21.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 10.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.24 -
$17.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.69
Resistance Level
$17.83
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.18
Wall Street Target
$21.77
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
0.2 vs 0.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.02
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$17.20
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$17.39
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
$19.63
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 93.0%)
$6645.30
(+39385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.2, Growth: 93.0%)
$56.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.2, Growth: 93.0%)
$48.28
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NBIX
Neurocrine Biosciences I… |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$211 | 58 HOLD |
|
ZTS
Zoetis Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$112 | 49 HOLD |
|
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics I… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$9 | 59 HOLD |
|
LNTH
Lantheus Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$113 | 46 HOLD |
|
UTHR
United Therapeutics Corp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$663 | 48 HOLD |
