TDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$6.92
-0.09 (-1.28%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.22%
30d: +5.49%
90d: -17.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 6d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TDAY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.24
Based on -1.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TDAY is currently trading at $6.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.41 to $7.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.4) compared to its historical average (29.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TDAY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+25.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $6.41 - $7.12
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($8.70)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.41 - $7.12
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.75
Resistance Level $7.36
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.42
Wall Street Target $8.70 (+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.4%
Profit Margin -1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.4 vs 29.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.57 (-5%)
2-Year Target $6.25 (-10%)
3-Year Target $5.93 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→30) $6.93 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.4, Growth: -7.3%) $5.51 (+-20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.3%) $4.30 (-38%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -7.3%) $3.66 (-47%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 29.7
Stabilization Target: $8.08 (+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.8%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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NEUTRAL

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