TDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.69
-0.02 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
+3.45%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
+20.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.14
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDAY is currently trading at $8.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.20 to $8.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.1) compared to its historical average (32.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDAY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.04, while resistance sits at $9.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDAY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.04, while resistance sits at $9.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.20 -
$8.72
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.84)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.20 -
$8.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.04
Resistance Level
$9.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.09
Wall Street Target
$8.84
(+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 32.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.32
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.96
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$7.62
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→32)
$8.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 2.8%)
$9.43
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 2.8%)
$6.96
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 2.8%)
$5.92
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.18
Bull Case
$16.47
(+90%)
Analyst growth 71.9%, PE expands to 53.2
Base Case
$14.97
(+72%)
Market implied 71.9%, PE stable at 48.4
Bear Case
$5.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.1 to 32.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.90
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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