TEAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$171.81
-3.10 (-1.77%) β–Ό
5d: +5.91%
30d: +114.36%
90d: +109.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your TEAM Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $149.07 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TEAM is 12.1% above its trading range ($153.20). Market expects 15.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.31
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $171.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.11 to $153.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.7) compared to its historical average (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $145.00, while resistance sits at $177.88.

Market Sentiment: TEAM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $88.11 - $153.20
Company Quality Score 26/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 14.3%

Protect Your Profits

TEAM is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.1% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($187.93)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 15.4% growth expectation is conservative given 172% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $88.11 - $153.20
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $145.00
Resistance Level $177.88
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.69
Wall Street Target $187.93 (+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 172.2%
Profit Margin -0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +15.4% premium
PE vs Historical 28.7 vs 18.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +15.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $201.85 (+15%)
2-Year Target $232.93 (+33%)
3-Year Target $268.80 (+54%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29β†’19) PE COMPRESSION $175.18 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.7, Growth: 10.7%) $237.47 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.7%) $166.10 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.7%) $141.19 (-19%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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