Atlassian (TEAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock
$227.61
4.45 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
+9.52%
30d:
+18.17%
90d:
+137.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.01
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $227.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.66 to $213.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.3) compared to its historical average (21.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEAM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEAM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$185.66 -
$213.21
Company Quality Score
24/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TEAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($224.91)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 20.8% growth expectation is conservative given 172% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$185.66 -
$213.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$201.55
Resistance Level
$229.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.34
Wall Street Target
$224.91
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
172.2%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.8% premium
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 21.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$274.95
(+21%)
2-Year Target
$332.14
(+46%)
3-Year Target
$401.23
(+76%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$227.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.3, Growth: 10.7%)
$309.02
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$164.36
(-28%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$139.71
(-39%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 6:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.
