Atlassian (TEAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$179.70
0.13 (0.07%) ▲
5d: -7.69%
30d: +15.76%
90d: +101.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your TEAM Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $189.58 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TEAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.39
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.56
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $179.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.11 to $189.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.5) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $174.21, while resistance sits at $198.60.

Market Sentiment: TEAM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $139.11 - $189.58
Company Quality Score 30/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 38.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.23)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 15.0% growth expectation is conservative given 172% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $139.11 - $189.58
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $174.21
Resistance Level $198.60
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.48
Wall Street Target $196.23 (+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 172.2%
Profit Margin -0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +15.0% premium
PE vs Historical 29.5 vs 19.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +15.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $206.65 (+15%)
2-Year Target $237.65 (+32%)
3-Year Target $273.30 (+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→19) PE COMPRESSION $179.86 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.5, Growth: 10.7%) $243.97 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.7%) $166.93 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.7%) $141.89 (-21%)
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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