TEAM Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE Best Software Stocks 2026 →

Atlassian (TEAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$149.99
-2.30 (-1.51%) ▼
5d: -2.4% 30d: -30.92% 90d: -5.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$170.95 – $220.80
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.6x FAIR
vs 21.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$216.94
+44.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$144.99 / $195.58
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEAM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $189.67 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.22
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $149.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.95 to $220.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (21.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $144.99, while resistance sits at $195.58.

Market Sentiment: TEAM scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $216.94 (+44.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $170.95 - $220.80
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $170.95 - $220.80
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $144.99
Resistance Level $195.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.6% below Wall St target ($216.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.61
Wall Street Target $216.94 (+44.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 172.2%
Profit Margin 1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 24.6 vs 21.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $156.29 (+4%)
2-Year Target $162.85 (+9%)
3-Year Target $169.69 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→22) PE COMPRESSION $150.35 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.6, Growth: 10.7%) $203.64 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.7%) $164.36 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.7%) $139.71 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.38
Bull Case $181.11 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case $149.99 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case $114.74 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TEAM)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: CEO of $TEAM, Cannon-Brookes Michael, purchased a significant number of shares at a higher price, boosting bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes: CEO buying shares Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 4:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive TEAM Research Pages
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