TEAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock
$88.86
-1.85 (-2.04%)
▼
5d:
+5.99%
30d:
-7.06%
90d:
+50.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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1 traders called TEAM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.5% annual earnings decline despite 172% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.5% annual earnings decline despite 172% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.93
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.00
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $88.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.58 to $98.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 172.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $75.30, while resistance sits at $94.90.
Market Sentiment: TEAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.87 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $75.30, while resistance sits at $94.90.
Market Sentiment: TEAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.87 (+57.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.58 -
$98.72
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.4% below Wall St target ($139.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.58 -
$98.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.30
Resistance Level
$94.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.30
Wall Street Target
$139.87
(+57.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
172.2%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.31
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$74.40
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$68.07
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$89.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$194.57
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 12.9%)
$127.76
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 12.9%)
$108.60
(+22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$116.18
(+30.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gene Liu
SELL
66 shares
2026-02-19
Joseph Leo Binz
SELL
1653 shares
2026-02-19
Rajeev Bashyam Rajan
SELL
3072 shares
2026-02-19
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.
