Atlassian (TEAM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEAM - Atlassian Corporation Class A Common Stock
$187.89
-2.02 (-1.06%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+0.78%
90d:
+119.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TEAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TEAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.33
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEAM is currently trading at $187.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.26 to $193.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.8) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $168.05, while resistance sits at $200.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $168.05, while resistance sits at $200.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$177.26 -
$193.52
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TEAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($205.39)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 15.1% growth expectation is conservative given 172% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$177.26 -
$193.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$168.05
Resistance Level
$200.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.82
Wall Street Target
$205.39
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
172.2%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.1% premium
PE vs Historical
30.8 vs 20.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.26
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$248.92
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$286.50
(+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$187.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$255.09
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$168.83
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.7%)
$143.51
(-24%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TEAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEAM price and gamma walls.
