Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.
$50.05
1.07 (2.18%)
▲
5d:
+8.26%
30d:
+15.72%
90d:
+32.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.81
Based on -16.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $50.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.90 to $49.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.50, while resistance sits at $53.73.
Market Sentiment: TEN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.50, while resistance sits at $53.73.
Market Sentiment: TEN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.90 -
$49.95
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 14.6% growth expectation is conservative given 560% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.90 -
$49.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.50
Resistance Level
$53.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.05
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(-8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
560.1%
Profit Margin
33.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 11.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.36
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$65.73
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$75.33
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -36.2%)
$43.65
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: -36.2%)
$36.49
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: -36.2%)
$24.18
(-52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.87
Bull Case
$26.94
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 5.5
Base Case
$24.49
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.0
Bear Case
$33.31
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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