Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.
$47.90
3.19 (7.13%)
▲
5d:
+10.67%
30d:
+21.85%
90d:
+29.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.36
Based on -16.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $47.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.51 to $43.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $48.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TEN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $48.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TEN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.51 -
$43.93
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 14.4% growth expectation is conservative given 163% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.51 -
$43.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.00
Resistance Level
$48.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.32
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
162.8%
Profit Margin
24.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 10.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.80
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$62.69
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$71.72
(+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -36.2%)
$43.16
(+-10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: -36.2%)
$34.92
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: -36.2%)
$23.32
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.18
Bull Case
$24.59
(-49%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$22.35
(-53%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$30.40
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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