Tsakos Energy Navigation (TEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.
$53.06
1.41 (2.73%)
▲
5d:
+3.67%
30d:
+13.5%
90d:
+35.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.34
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.79
35.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $53.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.09 to $53.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 560.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.02, while resistance sits at $56.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.50 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.02, while resistance sits at $56.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.50 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.09 -
$53.02
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($62.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.09 -
$53.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.02
Resistance Level
$56.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.31
Wall Street Target
$62.50
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
560.1%
Profit Margin
33.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-27.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-27.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$41.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$37.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→11)
$97.90
(+90%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$209.14
(+305%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -4.2%)
$45.36
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: -4.2%)
$38.56
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.87
Bull Case
$69.99
(+36%)
Analyst growth 21.5%, PE expands to 5.8
Base Case
$63.63
(+23%)
Market implied 21.5%, PE stable at 5.3
Bear Case
$35.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$134.29
(+160.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+160.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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