TEVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEVA - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited American Depositary Shares

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$39.53
0.22 (0.56%) ▲
5d: +0.87%
30d: +5.44%
90d: +12.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.02
3.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEVA is currently trading at $39.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.84 to $39.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEVA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.30, while resistance sits at $40.79.

Market Sentiment: TEVA scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.29 (+17.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $36.84 - $39.48
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 25.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $36.84 - $39.48
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.30
Resistance Level $40.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.82
Wall Street Target $46.29 (+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 72.2%
Profit Margin 4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.1% premium
PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 11.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.55 (+5%)
2-Year Target $43.66 (+11%)
3-Year Target $45.89 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→11) PE COMPRESSION $39.38 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 42.2%) $181.00 (+358%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 42.2%) $113.72 (+188%)
Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: 42.2%) $96.67 (+145%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 7.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.61
Bull Case $47.73 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case $39.53 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case $30.24 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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