Terex (TEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$54.94
2.34 (4.45%)
▲
5d:
-2.97%
30d:
-7.34%
90d:
-19.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.91
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.00
18.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $54.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.44 to $63.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.22, while resistance sits at $60.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: TEX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.94 (+45.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.22, while resistance sits at $60.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: TEX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.94 (+45.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$56.44 -
$63.54
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.5% below Wall St target ($79.94)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.44 -
$63.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.22
Resistance Level
$60.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.21
Wall Street Target
$79.94
(+45.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.9%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$50.11
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$47.85
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$55.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.8%)
$203.96
(+271%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 18.8%)
$92.06
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$78.25
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$115.72
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$105.20
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$35.77
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$63.25
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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