Terex (TEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$52.11
-0.96 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
-1.03%
30d:
-10.48%
90d:
-25.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $52.64 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TEX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.23
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.96
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $52.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.37 to $58.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.06, while resistance sits at $53.80.
Market Sentiment: TEX scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.09 (+46.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.06, while resistance sits at $53.80.
Market Sentiment: TEX scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.09 (+46.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$52.37 -
$58.42
Company Quality Score
71/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.0% below Wall St target ($76.09)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 86/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.37 -
$58.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.06
Resistance Level
$53.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.79
Wall Street Target
$76.09
(+46.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.9%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.19
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$46.44
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$43.84
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$52.38
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.8%)
$197.41
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$87.35
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$74.25
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$115.81
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.7
Base Case
$105.28
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$35.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$62.26
(+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TEX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEX price and gamma walls.
