TEX Terex Corporation INDUSTRIAL TRUCKS, TRACTORS, TRAILORS & STACKERS

Terex (TEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$57.61
+0.56 (+0.98%) ▲
5d: +0.09% 30d: +8.31% 90d: -12.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (42%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$51.40 – $56.66
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.8x FAIR
vs 10.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$74.63
+29.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
22th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$51.42 / $59.44
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TEX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.91
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.14
11.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $57.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.40 to $56.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.42, while resistance sits at $59.44.

Market Sentiment: TEX scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.63 (+29.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $51.40 - $56.66
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 22th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $51.40 - $56.66
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.57 (6.2%)
Support Level $51.42
Resistance Level $59.44
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($74.63)
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.83
Wall Street Target $74.63 (+29.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 58.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.0%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.8 vs 10.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.57 (-2%)
2-Year Target $55.55 (-4%)
3-Year Target $54.55 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) $57.72 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.2%) $197.29 (+243%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 19.2%) $97.65 (+70%)
Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: 19.2%) $83.00 (+44%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case $125.51 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.1
Base Case $114.10 (+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case $38.79 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.4
Stabilization Target: $60.95 (+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TEX)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The social media sentiment is bullish towards $TEX, with one trader mentioning it as part of a list of stocks with bullish engulfing candles. A Yahoo Finance news article highlights $TEX as a profitable company with exceptional growth potential.
Key Retail Themes: Company profitability Growth potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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