TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$62.84
0.62 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-10.01%
30d:
-8.53%
90d:
+1.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEX is down 10.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEX is down 10.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.60
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.95
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $62.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.36 to $70.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.44, while resistance sits at $71.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.46 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.44, while resistance sits at $71.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.46 (+26.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.36 -
$70.59
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($79.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 41.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.36 -
$70.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.44
Resistance Level
$71.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.82
Wall Street Target
$79.46
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$63.60
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$63.98
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 18.6%)
$200.91
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 18.6%)
$104.84
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 18.6%)
$89.12
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$136.88
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$124.44
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$42.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
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