TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$66.48
2.28 (3.55%)
▲
5d:
-2.12%
30d:
-2.98%
90d:
+16.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.93
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.64
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $66.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.15 to $68.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.75, while resistance sits at $68.94. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.94 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.75, while resistance sits at $68.94. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.94 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.15 -
$68.00
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($79.94)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 50.5% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.15 -
$68.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.75
Resistance Level
$68.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.76
Wall Street Target
$79.94
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.9%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.39
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$64.59
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$64.78
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.8%)
$200.66
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$107.58
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 18.8%)
$91.44
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$142.12
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$129.20
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$43.93
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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