TFI International (TFII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$112.57
-2.43 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
-1.3%
30d:
-7.56%
90d:
-22.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When TFII Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TFII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TFII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$290.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$180.44
37.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $112.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.63 to $125.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.64 (+37.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.64 (+37.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$112.63 -
$125.01
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($157.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.63 -
$125.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.32
Resistance Level
$116.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.72
Wall Street Target
$157.64
(+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.57
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$96.91
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$88.97
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$115.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$356.63
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 32.0%)
$264.32
(+130%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 32.0%)
$224.67
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$238.41
(+107%)
Analyst growth 92.4%, PE expands to 30.5
Base Case
$216.74
(+89%)
Market implied 92.4%, PE stable at 27.7
Bear Case
$76.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$149.23
(+29.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Trucking Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Trucking by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$225 | 54 HOLD |
|
KNX
Knight Transportation Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$85 | 35 SELL |
|
SAIA
Saia Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$420 | 44 HOLD |
|
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Lin… |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$221 | 45 HOLD |
|
ARCB
ArcBest Corp |
BUY
14 analysts |
$167 | 44 HOLD |
