TFII
TFI International Inc.
Trucking & Courier Services (No Air)
TFI International (TFII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$96.63
-0.26 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
-0.01%
30d:
-14.11%
90d:
-34.1%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$98.97 – $115.61
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x
CHEAP
vs 18.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$129.50
+33.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$91.46 / $113.23
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TFII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$254.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$158.22
38.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $96.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.97 to $115.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $91.46, while resistance sits at $113.23.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.50 (+33.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $91.46, while resistance sits at $113.23.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.50 (+33.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$98.97 -
$115.61
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$98.97 -
$115.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$91.46
Resistance Level
$113.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.7% below Wall St target ($129.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.85
Wall Street Target
$129.50
(+33.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$79.18
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$71.58
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$96.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.6%)
$275.30
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 25.6%)
$191.94
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 25.6%)
$163.15
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.32
Bull Case
$168.08
(+74%)
Analyst growth 62.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$152.80
(+58%)
Market implied 62.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$64.14
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$130.86
(+35.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TFII)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Jul 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on TFII are bullish (sentiment score +0.96) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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