TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$147.62
-0.02 (-0.01%)
▼
5d:
+4.79%
30d:
-3.87%
90d:
+20.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$284.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$176.72
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $147.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.20 to $155.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $148.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.91 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $148.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.91 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$142.20 -
$155.74
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($165.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$142.20 -
$155.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.78
Resistance Level
$167.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.20
Wall Street Target
$165.91
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.1%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.06
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$148.51
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$148.95
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.1%)
$392.23
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.1%)
$363.80
(+146%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 35.1%)
$309.23
(+110%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.59
Bull Case
$324.81
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.2
Base Case
$295.28
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.1
Bear Case
$100.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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