TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$134.80
-0.22 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-7.59%
30d:
-3.12%
90d:
-5.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TFII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TFII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$307.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.74
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $134.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.16 to $151.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $133.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.85 (+29.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $133.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.85 (+29.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$140.16 -
$151.91
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($174.85)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.16 -
$151.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$133.35
Resistance Level
$157.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.09
Wall Street Target
$174.85
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 20.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.93
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$121.40
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$115.21
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$134.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 31.7%)
$373.58
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 31.7%)
$307.99
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 31.7%)
$261.79
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.06
Bull Case
$288.54
(+114%)
Analyst growth 94.3%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$262.31
(+95%)
Market implied 94.3%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$91.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$157.75
(+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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