TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$141.35
1.83 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
-3.61%
30d:
-7.08%
90d:
-3.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TFII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TFII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$304.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$189.02
25.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $141.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.08 to $150.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.93, while resistance sits at $148.80.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.08 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $136.93, while resistance sits at $148.80.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.08 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$138.08 -
$150.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($174.08)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$138.08 -
$150.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$136.93
Resistance Level
$148.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.67
Wall Street Target
$174.08
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.22
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$129.12
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$124.21
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$139.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 31.9%)
$363.54
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 31.9%)
$320.09
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 31.9%)
$272.07
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.00
Bull Case
$300.73
(+113%)
Analyst growth 97.4%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case
$273.39
(+93%)
Market implied 97.4%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$94.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$156.33
(+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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