TENNANT (TNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$66.70
-0.52 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
+0.74%
30d:
-3.64%
90d:
-23.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TNC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TNC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.58
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $66.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.85 to $70.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+31.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.85 -
$70.52
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($87.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.85 -
$70.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.88
Resistance Level
$68.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$87.75
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.97
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$65.24
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$64.52
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$66.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 46.1%)
$357.53
(+436%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 46.1%)
$208.00
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 46.1%)
$176.80
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.66
Bull Case
$80.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$66.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$51.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$69.13
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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