TNC
TENNANT COMPANY
REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY
TENNANT (TNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$76.25
+0.75 (+0.99%)
▲
5d:
+4.68%
30d:
+14.23%
90d:
+12.73%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
24/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$64.73 – $71.37
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$89.00
+16.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$65.73 / $77.61
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TNC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.74
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $76.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.73 to $71.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TNC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TNC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$64.73 -
$71.37
Company Quality Score
24/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$64.73 -
$71.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$65.73
Resistance Level
$77.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.93
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.60
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$83.11
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$86.76
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.3%)
$281.28
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 37.3%)
$197.31
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 37.3%)
$167.71
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.79
Bull Case
$92.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$76.25
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$58.33
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TNC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Tennant Company reported Q3 2026 earnings, beating EPS estimates with a revenue miss and strong revenue growth, and reconfirmed its full-year revenue guidance.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
revenue growth
full-year revenue guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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