TENNANT (TNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$68.74
-0.26 (-0.38%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
-0.74%
90d:
-21.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TNC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TNC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.58
17.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $68.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.77 to $76.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+27.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+27.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$65.77 -
$76.29
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($87.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.77 -
$76.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.95
Resistance Level
$73.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$87.75
(+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.67
(0%)
2-Year Target
$68.60
(0%)
3-Year Target
$68.53
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
$68.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 46.0%)
$352.59
(+413%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 46.0%)
$213.81
(+211%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 46.0%)
$181.74
(+164%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.56 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.47
Bull Case
$83.00
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$68.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$52.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$69.13
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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