TENNANT (TNC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$65.64
0.29 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
-0.47%
90d:
-25.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TNC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TNC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.90
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $65.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.62 to $67.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TNC scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TNC scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.75 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$65.62 -
$67.75
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($87.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.62 -
$67.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.48
Resistance Level
$68.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.63
Wall Street Target
$87.75
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$63.15
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$62.07
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$65.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 46.1%)
$348.06
(+433%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 46.1%)
$203.79
(+212%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 46.1%)
$173.22
(+165%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.54
Bull Case
$78.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$65.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$49.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$68.56
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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