TSEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$222.59
-1.19 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-16.16%
30d:
-14.53%
90d:
-20.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TSEM is down 16.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TSEM is down 16.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$316.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$196.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $222.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.36 to $256.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.2) compared to its historical average (40.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $217.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSEM scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $321.32 (+44.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $217.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSEM scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $321.32 (+44.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$218.36 -
$256.59
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TSEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.4% below Wall St target ($321.32)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$218.36 -
$256.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$217.82
Resistance Level
$277.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.21
Wall Street Target
$321.32
(+44.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.7%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.2 vs 40.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$211.24
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$200.46
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$190.24
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→40)
$222.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.2, Growth: 68.7%)
$751.24
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 68.7%)
$440.69
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 68.7%)
$374.58
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (60x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 59.52 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.74
Bull Case
$268.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 62.5
Base Case
$222.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 59.5
Bear Case
$170.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 53.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.2 to 40.0
Stabilization Target:
$260.24
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TSEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TSEM price and gamma walls.
