Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$159.76
+0.88 (+0.56%)
▲
5d:
+21.96%
30d:
-23.62%
90d:
-39.82%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect TSEM Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$153.19 – $221.92
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.7x
CHEAP
vs 37.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$275.21
+73.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$129.95 / $193.53
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: TSEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$340.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$211.72
24.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $159.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.19 to $221.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (37.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 123.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $129.94, while resistance sits at $193.53.
Market Sentiment: TSEM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $275.21 (+73.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $129.94, while resistance sits at $193.53.
Market Sentiment: TSEM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $275.21 (+73.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$153.19 -
$221.92
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$153.19 -
$221.92
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$129.95
Resistance Level
$193.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TSEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 73.2% below Wall St target ($275.21)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.68
Wall Street Target
$275.21
(+73.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
123.4%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 37.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.98
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$128.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$115.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→38)
$193.00
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 72.2%)
$536.19
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 72.2%)
$469.46
(+196%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 72.2%)
$399.04
(+151%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$324.72
(+104%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.2
Base Case
$295.20
(+86%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.5
Bear Case
$100.37
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 37.8
Stabilization Target:
$264.75
(+66.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+66.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TSEM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $TSEM, with traders expressing the belief that the stock's price should increase instead of decreasing.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Positive outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 11:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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