TSEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$282.65
-34.20 (-10.79%)
▼
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
+1.3%
90d:
+64.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $282.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $246.64 to $285.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 49.3) compared to its historical average (40.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $209.84, while resistance sits at $319.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $209.84, while resistance sits at $319.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$246.64 -
$285.89
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($313.83)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$246.64 -
$285.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$209.84
Resistance Level
$319.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.26
Wall Street Target
$313.83
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
49.3 vs 40.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$303.00
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$324.82
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$348.20
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→40)
PE COMPRESSION
$282.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.3, Growth: 71.7%)
$953.94
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 71.7%)
$421.79
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 71.7%)
$358.52
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (94x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (49x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 94.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.00
Bull Case
$341.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 99.1
Base Case
$282.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 94.3
Bear Case
$216.23
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 84.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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