Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$211.52
3.45 (1.66%)
â˛
5d:
+2.6%
30d:
-18.74%
90d:
-18.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $222.34 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.3/10
Get Alerted When TSEM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TSEM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TSEM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$317.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$197.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $211.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $207.81 to $246.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.4) compared to its historical average (39.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $196.36, while resistance sits at $226.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $314.91 (+48.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $196.36, while resistance sits at $226.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $314.91 (+48.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$207.81 -
$246.57
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TSEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.9% below Wall St target ($314.91)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$207.81 -
$246.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$196.36
Resistance Level
$226.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.39
Wall Street Target
$314.91
(+48.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.7%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.4 vs 39.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.98
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$185.31
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$173.45
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32â40)
$212.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.4, Growth: 69.0%)
$713.88
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 69.0%)
$444.62
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 69.0%)
$377.92
(+79%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.86
Bull Case
$255.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$211.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$161.81
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.4 to 39.6
Stabilization Target:
$258.64
(+22.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$533 | 70 BUY |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$327 | 57 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$1513 | 54 HOLD |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$311 | 55 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices IâĻ |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$614 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced TSEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TSEM price and gamma walls.
