TSEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$267.91
-6.80 (-2.48%)
▼
5d:
-3.56%
30d:
+24.57%
90d:
+116.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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1 traders called TSEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $267.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.68 to $274.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.7) compared to its historical average (39.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $240.97, while resistance sits at $302.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $240.97, while resistance sits at $302.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$214.68 -
$274.99
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($313.83)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.68 -
$274.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$240.98
Resistance Level
$302.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.69
Wall Street Target
$313.83
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
46.7 vs 39.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$283.45
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$299.89
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$317.28
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→39)
PE COMPRESSION
$267.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.7, Growth: 71.7%)
$904.20
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 71.7%)
$424.30
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 71.7%)
$360.66
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (83x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 82.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.33
Bull Case
$332.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 86.8
Base Case
$275.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 82.6
Bear Case
$210.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 74.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TSEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TSEM price and gamma walls.
