TSEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$234.32
14.65 (6.67%)
▲
5d:
+4.51%
30d:
+6.97%
90d:
+7.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TSEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TSEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$283.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$175.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $234.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.06 to $253.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.7) is in line with its historical norms (40.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $185.07, while resistance sits at $262.87. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+42.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $185.07, while resistance sits at $262.87. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TSEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $313.83 (+42.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$214.06 -
$253.00
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TSEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($313.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.06 -
$253.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$185.07
Resistance Level
$262.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.73
Wall Street Target
$313.83
(+42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.7 vs 40.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.06
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$210.54
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$206.12
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→40)
$219.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.7, Growth: 76.3%)
$741.39
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 76.3%)
$407.31
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 76.3%)
$346.21
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 55.87 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.93
Bull Case
$265.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 58.7
Base Case
$219.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 55.9
Bear Case
$168.05
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 50.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.7 to 40.2
Stabilization Target:
$234.03
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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