TWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated
$23.14
0.33 (1.45%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
+1.22%
90d:
+47.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TWIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 31.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TWIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 31.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.19
Based on -30.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $23.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.19 to $23.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.1) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 31.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.09, while resistance sits at $24.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.09, while resistance sits at $24.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$22.19 -
$23.36
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 31.2% growth expectation is conservative given 2239% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.19 -
$23.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.53
(15.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.09
Resistance Level
$24.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.06
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2239.0%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+31.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.1 vs 14.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+31.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.36
(+31%)
2-Year Target
$39.83
(+72%)
3-Year Target
$52.26
(+126%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.1, Growth: -64.8%)
$16.87
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -64.8%)
$10.58
(-54%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: -64.8%)
$7.50
(-68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$12.55
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$11.40
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$15.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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