Twin Disc (TWIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated
$25.88
0.79 (3.15%)
▲
5d:
-0.65%
30d:
-0.19%
90d:
+11.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TWIN trades at premium valuation expecting 22.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: TWIN trades at premium valuation expecting 22.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.62
Based on -30.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $25.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.77 to $27.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.0) compared to its historical average (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.01, while resistance sits at $27.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.01, while resistance sits at $27.01. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.77 -
$27.19
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 22.8% growth with 18.3% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.77 -
$27.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.84
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.01
Resistance Level
$27.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.97
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.7%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+22.8% premium
PE vs Historical
37.0 vs 20.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+22.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.78
(+23%)
2-Year Target
$39.03
(+51%)
3-Year Target
$47.92
(+85%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.0, Growth: -64.8%)
$18.87
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -64.8%)
$10.13
(-61%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -64.8%)
$8.61
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$13.80
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$12.54
(-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$17.06
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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