Twin Disc (TWIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated
$26.46
0.33 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
+4.42%
30d:
+13.27%
90d:
+12.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When TWIN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TWIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TWIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.49
Based on -30.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $26.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.10 to $25.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.8) compared to its historical average (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 27.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TWIN scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TWIN scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.10 -
$25.42
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 27.0% growth with 18.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.10 -
$25.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.53
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.56
Resistance Level
$26.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.80
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.7%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+27.0% premium
PE vs Historical
37.8 vs 18.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+27.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.60
(+27%)
2-Year Target
$42.68
(+61%)
3-Year Target
$54.20
(+105%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.8, Growth: -64.8%)
$19.29
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -64.8%)
$10.41
(-61%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -64.8%)
$8.85
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$14.37
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$13.07
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$17.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 29, 2026 8:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Industrial Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GEV
GE Vernova LLC |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$1237 | 62 BUY |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Company |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$173 | 58 HOLD |
|
PH
Parker-Hannifin Corporat… |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$1158 | 62 BUY |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$480 | 43 HOLD |
|
ROK
Rockwell Automation Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$477 | 62 BUY |
