UHS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UHS - Universal Health Services, Inc. Class B

SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC
$145.85
3.21 (2.25%) ▲
5d: -0.08%
30d: -10.22%
90d: -22.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UHS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$266.94
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.75
12.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UHS is currently trading at $145.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.84 to $164.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UHS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $140.08, while resistance sits at $159.52.

Market Sentiment: UHS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.76 (+47.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $142.84 - $164.22
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.9% below Wall St target ($215.76)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $142.84 - $164.22
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $140.08
Resistance Level $159.52
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.75
Wall Street Target $215.76 (+47.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.7%
Profit Margin 8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.8 vs 7.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $131.56 (-10%)
2-Year Target $118.66 (-19%)
3-Year Target $107.04 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→8) $145.09 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%) $702.38 (+382%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 8.4%) $185.56 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 4.9, Growth: 8.4%) $157.73 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.95
Bull Case $166.06 (+14%)
Analyst growth 5.8%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case $150.96 (+4%)
Market implied 5.8%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case $96.99 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 7.8
Stabilization Target: $197.71 (+35.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-29

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UHS price and gamma walls.

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