ULH
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
Universal Logistics (ULH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$30.08
-0.35 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
+2.07%
30d:
+78.83%
90d:
+55.94%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (12%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$15.09 – $27.20
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.2x
FAIR
vs 15.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.00
-8.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.89 / $33.87
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ULH is 10.6% above its trading range ($27.20). Market expects -0.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.48
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $30.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.09 to $27.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 213.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.89, while resistance sits at $33.87.
Market Sentiment: ULH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.89, while resistance sits at $33.87.
Market Sentiment: ULH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.09 -
$27.20
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
11.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.09 -
$27.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$16.89
Resistance Level
$33.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($28.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.21
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(-8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
213.5%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.28
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$30.13
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$29.98
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$30.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 88.7%)
$134.06
(+341%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 88.7%)
$102.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 88.7%)
$87.30
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.72
Bull Case
$36.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$30.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$23.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$31.00
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ULH)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
Last Tracked
Aug 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ULH are bullish (sentiment score +0.15) across 2 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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