Universal Logistics (ULH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULH - Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$18.46
0.75 (4.23%)
▲
5d:
+10.61%
30d:
+1.82%
90d:
+32.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ULH is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ULH is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.55
14.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $18.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.22 to $19.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $16.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $16.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.22 -
$19.02
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 13.3% above Wall St target ($16.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.22 -
$19.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.70
Resistance Level
$18.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.05
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(-13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
213.5%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.68
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$18.91
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$19.13
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 130.0%)
$79.18
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 130.0%)
$62.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 130.0%)
$52.96
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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