ULH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULH - Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$15.25
0.37 (2.49%)
▲
5d:
+8.7%
30d:
-14.47%
90d:
-30.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ULH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ULH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.49
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $15.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.24 to $16.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.24 -
$16.91
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.24 -
$16.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.20
Resistance Level
$18.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.6%
Profit Margin
-7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.81
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$12.81
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$11.89
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$14.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 118.2%)
$88.21
(+493%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 118.2%)
$50.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 118.2%)
$42.69
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$18.60
(+25.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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