Universal Logistics (ULH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULH - Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$18.51
-0.15 (-0.80%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.22%
30d:
-5.75%
90d:
+3.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ULH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ULH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.55
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $18.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.49 to $19.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $17.90, while resistance sits at $20.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $16.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $17.90, while resistance sits at $20.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $16.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.49 -
$19.51
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.6% above Wall St target ($16.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.49 -
$19.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.90
Resistance Level
$20.45
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.10
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(-13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
213.5%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.75
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$18.99
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.24
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 130.0%)
$78.28
(+323%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 130.0%)
$62.47
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 130.0%)
$53.10
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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