ULH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULH - Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$18.21
4.83 (36.10%)
▲
5d:
+27.88%
30d:
+23.79%
90d:
-18.71%
SELL
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⚠️ CAUTION: ULH is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
⚠️ CAUTION: ULH is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.35
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $18.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.80 to $15.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 36.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ULH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+12.1%). Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 36.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ULH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+12.1%). Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.80 -
$15.83
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+36.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.80 -
$15.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.90
Resistance Level
$18.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.16
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.6%
Profit Margin
-7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 15.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.38
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$11.45
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$10.59
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$13.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 144.4%)
$76.96
(+475%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 144.4%)
$45.16
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 144.4%)
$38.38
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$16.83
(+25.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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