Universal Logistics (ULH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ULH - Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$16.84
-0.52 (-2.97%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.16%
30d:
+2.06%
90d:
+18.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ULH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ULH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.41
21.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ULH is currently trading at $16.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.50 to $18.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 213.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.44, while resistance sits at $17.81.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ULH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.44, while resistance sits at $17.81.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.50 -
$18.04
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($16.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.50 -
$18.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.44
Resistance Level
$17.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.09
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(-7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
213.5%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.11
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$16.99
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â15)
$17.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 130.0%)
$77.08
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 130.0%)
$58.56
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 130.0%)
$49.77
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.71
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ULH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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