Why is UMBF Down Today?

UMBF
$126.75
▼ -2.51% ($-3.18)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 3:34 PM ET (904 min ago)

About UMB Financial Corp

UMB Financial Corp, or UMBF, is a financial services holding company offering a suite of banking services and asset servicing to its customers in the United States and around the world. Its client base includes commercial, institutional, and personal customers. Along with its subsidiaries, the compa...

Sector: NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
Market Cap: $8.98B
Forward P/E: 9.0
52-Week Range: $103.38 - $153.32
Employees: 3,698

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector is down 1.4% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.2x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector: -1.4%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

UMBF is significantly underperforming the market (-2.7% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
UMBF
This Stock
-2.51%
vs S&P 500: -2.69%
vs Nasdaq: -2.82%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, UMBF is expected to trade between:
$122.94 - $129.28

Key Level to Watch

$120.41 support
Watch for breakdown below $126.75

🔔 Get UMBF Alerts

We'll notify you when UMBF's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 3:34 PM (904 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Historical Context

UMBF has moved more than 3.0% down on 7 occasions in the past year.

28.6%
Continuation Rate
2/7 times continued down
+0.69%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Mar 06, 2026 (-3.4%) → Next day: +0.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is UMBF stock down today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS sector is down 1.4% on average.

Is UMBF stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, UMBF shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the UMBF stock price target?

UMBF is currently trading at $126.75. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $122.94 - $129.28. See long-term price prediction →

Will UMBF stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that UMBF's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $120.41 (support).

Is UMBF stock oversold or overbought?

UMBF's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 28.2. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for UMBF stock?

UMBF's 10-day momentum indicator is at -4.97. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is UMBF outperforming or underperforming the market?

UMBF (-2.51%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.7% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for UMBF?

UMBF's MACD (-3.19) is currently below the signal line (-2.79), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 38.6) is strong.

Is UMBF in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, UMBF is in a bearish trend. The price ($126.75) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($136.4) and 50-day SMA ($141.84). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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